PolyBot

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Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.75% at the end of 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2028-01-01
Resolves by
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.17 to 0.24. 150 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2855
0.292631
0.334071
0.3736107
0.5315122
0.5691213
0.5825238
0.59497735
0.6520755
0.847762
0.8540802
0.873201,122

Spread0.16Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.124040
0.114585
0.10120205
0.0952257
0.0646303
0.04168471
0.03280751
0.025251,276
0.019982,274

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.884040
0.894585
0.90120205
0.9152257
0.9446303
0.96168471
0.97280751
0.985251,276
0.999982,274

Spread0.16Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7255
0.712631
0.674071
0.6336107
0.4715122
0.4491213
0.4225238
0.41497735
0.3520755
0.167762
0.1540802
0.133201,122

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x688B15F0B28ED993dba8EE14F3485ddbB55349F5-1774551591274Yes396.89
xtxpleasecallmeYes192.28
FihdrzgddYes44
2B9SYes30
crossFiterYes26
pppnnYes12
PPMTYes5
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes5
LucerysYes4.99
LaribobiboYes1
0xa5ef…2966No641.53
cigarettesNo60
0x49F206No10
WarriorHNo4.43
gthdtrlij549y89No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
20:30:28BUYNo0.885$4.40
08:55:02SELLYes0.110$1.00
08:53:56BUYYes0.1710$1.70
06:00:44BUYNo0.96$5.40
05:37:29BUYNo0.902857142935$31.60
05:21:41BUYYes0.135$0.65
05:16:32BUYNo0.895$4.45
07:57:11BUYNo0.95$4.50
12:15:51SELLNo0.840$0.09
10:08:20BUYNo0.9410$9.40
06:48:38BUYNo0.9110$9.10
18:06:32BUYYes0.19$0.89
12:51:43BUYNo0.910$9.10
12:51:43BUYNo0.910$9.00
12:51:43BUYNo0.9120$18.20
12:51:43BUYNo0.9110$9.20
12:46:04SELLNo0.8927$23.86
12:46:04SELLYes0.0932$2.86
12:46:03BUYYes0.109999999882$9.00
12:46:03BUYYes0.118428167232$3.77
12:46:03BUYYes0.150$5.00
10:55:58SELLYes0.1419$2.65
10:55:57BUYNo0.869$7.70
10:55:57BUYNo0.865$4.30
10:55:55BUYNo0.865$4.30