PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 UT-04 House election by 5%-15%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.242. up 0.110 over the period, from 0.132. Range 0.091 to 0.348. 156 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2512020
0.2524060
0.254280340
0.26130370
0.26220390
0.26360450
0.26776526
0.27224550
0.273200750
0.27530780
0.28098878
0.28123901

Spread0.019Mid0.241

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2327474
0.23180154
0.22915169
0.22877246
0.222130376
0.220100476
0.21669545
0.208304849
0.18120869
0.16420889
0.15445934
0.13740974

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7687474
0.76980154
0.77115169
0.77277246
0.778130376
0.780100476
0.78469545
0.792304849
0.81920869
0.83620889
0.84645934
0.86340974

Spread0.019Mid0.758

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7492020
0.7484060
0.746280340
0.73930370
0.73820390
0.73760450
0.73376526
0.72824550
0.727200750
0.72530780
0.72098878
0.71923901

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlYes422.45
0x7272c0D9478Ef6447f48A20a7Db2839A61A4a67d-1735227193318Yes144
fkpaYes52.53
Sp0rtBabyYes20.6
HenriIVYes13.94
PPMTYes4.4
0xa5ef…2966No303.25
HaradwaithNo114.71
wuwuwuwuwu11No100
AJSVNo77.39
lolzzzlolNo34.36
cigarettesNo20
JoeDirtBuffettNo5.81
2B9SNo2.45

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:24:42SELLNo0.6850$0.01
11:26:41SELLYes0.2155$1.07
11:26:33SELLNo0.7714$3.32
11:26:32BUYYes0.221999985310$2.29
11:26:32BUYYes0.21520$4.30
11:26:32BUYYes0.214144$30.82
11:26:32BUYYes0.22910$2.36
11:26:32BUYYes0.218220833324$5.24
01:42:38BUYYes0.19120$3.84
13:51:42SELLYes0.1821$0.12
10:41:54BUYNo0.8135$4.06
10:41:54BUYNo0.81331$24.80
10:41:54BUYNo0.81310$8.13
21:24:14SELLYes0.1852$0.37
20:23:02BUYYes0.21720$4.34
20:22:54BUYYes0.216999985511$2.31
20:22:54SELLNo0.790450$39.52
20:22:54BUYYes0.21110$2.11
20:22:54BUYYes0.2130$6.30
19:21:32BUYYes0.18417$3.13
16:38:29SELLYes0.1870$0.02
16:20:14SELLYes0.1872$0.37
16:20:11SELLYes0.1872$0.37
12:37:25BUYNo0.860999998118$15.51
12:37:25BUYNo0.84089988920$16.80