PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 35%-40%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.204. down 0.039 over the period, from 0.243. Range 0.191 to 0.319. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.2265151
0.2274091
0.228217307
0.231100407
0.23540447
0.236188635
0.23793728
0.25020748
0.261100848
0.32240888
0.3238896
0.33220916

Spread0.043Mid0.205

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.183160160
0.182120280
0.18120300
0.180438738
0.179180918
0.1731881,106
0.1701551,261
0.1531,5002,761
0.150232,784
0.144202,804
0.121182,822
0.119602,882

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.817160160
0.818120280
0.81920300
0.820438738
0.821180918
0.8271881,106
0.8301551,261
0.8471,5002,761
0.850232,784
0.856202,804
0.879182,822
0.881602,882

Spread0.043Mid0.795

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.7745151
0.7734091
0.772217307
0.769100407
0.76540447
0.764188635
0.76393728
0.75020748
0.739100848
0.67840888
0.6778896
0.66820916

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fkpajeets148840Yes272.98
AJSVYes184.09
LornaPredictsYes67.63
pootytherewardfarmerYes59
GuyFromTinderYes51.78
winexecutescaleYes32.95
lolzzzlolYes20
arrpadexYes20
HaradwaithYes19.98
0x44ac…f67aYes19.4
luciebotYes5.26
0xa5ef…2966No567.09
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlNo122.65
cigarettesNo38
PPMTNo19.4
shiifooNo5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:22:58BUYYes0.248999991819$4.83
21:13:02BUYNo0.74720$14.94
21:12:53BUYNo0.7640282513103$78.43
10:41:05SELLYes0.2460$0.11
02:36:50BUYYes0.23520$4.70
02:36:50BUYYes0.248458177620$5.08
13:33:49BUYYes0.24420$4.88
07:05:41BUYNo0.72350$36.45
23:51:59SELLNo0.6910$0.30
22:54:11SELLNo0.7620$15.20
22:47:35BUYYes0.2399999994137$32.83
22:47:35BUYYes0.25612$3.08
22:47:35BUYYes0.24212$3.02
14:51:56SELLYes0.2311$0.30
12:53:08SELLYes0.2111$0.27
10:36:32BUYNo0.7631$0.99
23:18:03BUYNo0.765$3.67
04:24:21BUYNo0.7735$4.17
04:24:21BUYNo0.7736$4.64
21:02:29BUYNo0.760943181813$10.04
21:01:36BUYNo0.767$5.13
19:47:48BUYNo0.7611$7.98
17:54:08SELLNo0.7591$0.83
15:21:21SELLYes0.242$0.48
17:36:04SELLNo0.72720$14.54