PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-04 House election by 0%-10%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.193. up 0.175 over the period, from 0.018. Range 0.013 to 0.395. 149 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3572020
0.383120140
0.38425165
0.41030195
0.4115200
0.42620220
0.44245265
0.44330295
0.48250345
0.48320365
0.572100465
0.57390555

Spread0.328Mid0.193

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0292020
0.0112040
0.0103070
0.0082191
0.003120211
0.00213224
0.00150274

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9712020
0.9892040
0.9903070
0.9922191
0.997120211
0.99813224
0.99950274

Spread0.328Mid0.807

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6432020
0.617120140
0.61625165
0.59030195
0.5895200
0.57420220
0.55845265
0.55730295
0.51850345
0.51720365
0.428100465
0.42790555

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes290.93
843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.Yes120
Numitus1994Yes100.88
RadioCCODYes80.16
LornaPredictsYes15.97
0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911Yes14
.MentheYes9.24
mustbethewaterYes5.63
Hugin-og-MuninYes4.03
flexer78Yes2.81
0xa5ef…2966No623.56
HaradwaithNo20.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:50:12BUYYes0.07920$1.59
07:50:07BUYYes0.038$0.24
21:49:39BUYNo0.9913$2.78
15:21:08BUYNo0.99860$59.88
15:21:08BUYNo0.99860$59.88
19:51:03BUYYes0.005810878280$0.47
16:37:00BUYNo0.99820$19.96
08:35:54BUYNo0.9995$5.00
08:35:54BUYNo0.99882420$19.98
08:35:39BUYNo0.9975$5.22
20:23:59BUYNo0.9975$4.99
20:23:57BUYNo0.9975$5.37
20:23:57BUYNo0.99710$9.97
20:23:57BUYNo0.9975$4.99
11:54:15BUYNo0.9974$4.37
11:54:15BUYNo0.9978$8.39
11:54:15BUYNo0.99710$9.97
21:31:12SELLYes0.0030$0.00
21:24:38BUYNo0.99716$15.52
21:24:32BUYNo0.9975$4.99
07:37:56BUYNo0.99710$9.97
07:37:56BUYNo0.99710$9.97
01:53:48BUYNo0.9965$4.98
08:57:27SELLYes0.00243$0.09
16:28:52SELLYes0.00220$0.04