PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-01 House election by 40%-45%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-03
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.28. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.28. Range 0.27 to 0.30. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.297373
0.30282355
0.3120375
0.4020395
0.6185480
0.6250530
0.6350580
0.646586
0.6740626
0.696632
0.737640
0.779648

Spread0.01Mid0.29

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.284040
0.27174214
0.2660274
0.25100374
0.1860434
0.155439
0.1440479
0.1021500
0.0730530
0.036536
0.0211547

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.724040
0.73174214
0.7460274
0.75100374
0.8260434
0.855439
0.8640479
0.9021500
0.9330530
0.976536
0.9811547

Spread0.01Mid0.71

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.717373
0.70282355
0.6920375
0.6020395
0.3985480
0.3850530
0.3750580
0.366586
0.3340626
0.316632
0.277640
0.239648

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
InterestingUserYes742.68
6548921Yes724.23
anoin123Yes216.23
0x00f79735D67E741fb2dB4cd623f6375326957fFYes42.8
LornaPredictsYes21.38
gfdgfvfvssddYes20
predictdogepepewifYes20
lolzzzlolYes13.09
FihdrzgddYes9.36
0xa5ef…2966No1,289.27
Dr.PNLNo374.62
shoobadooba18No60
AJSVNo53.64
GuyFromTinderNo17.66
0x0675…ea85No7.04
0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295No5
pppnnNo2

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:32:36SELLYes0.289$2.62
04:32:34BUYNo0.71999997869$6.74
04:32:33SELLYes0.2820$5.60
04:31:55SELLYes0.283$0.90
04:31:04BUYNo0.7215$10.80
04:31:04BUYNo0.7211$7.92
04:25:10BUYNo0.7215$10.80
01:55:25SELLYes0.2811825$7.03
01:55:21BUYNo0.70999997027$5.00
01:55:21BUYNo0.7130$21.30
01:55:21BUYNo0.715$3.55
00:24:51SELLNo0.71$0.98
15:52:20BUYNo0.71999994241$1.00
15:52:17SELLYes0.281$0.29
15:49:08SELLNo0.71$0.98
10:37:40BUYNo0.7187208098251$180.36
03:58:12SELLNo0.692$1.42
01:31:58SELLYes0.30$0.10
01:26:30BUYNo0.78$5.60
22:53:22SELLNo0.76$4.51
17:35:54BUYNo0.70999985091$1.00
17:35:09BUYNo0.718$5.68
06:51:13SELLNo0.75$3.50
04:19:03SELLNo0.719$12.98
02:11:15BUYNo0.713$2.24