Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 65% or higher?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-07-01
Resolves by: https://agi.safe.ai/
Rewards: 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.26. up 0.08 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.11 to 0.56. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.28	32	32
0.31	150	182
0.32	12	194
0.33	10	205
0.34	6	211
0.35	91	302
0.45	9	311
0.58	33	344
0.59	20	364
0.74	60	424
0.84	10	434
0.88	20	454

Spread0.03Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.25	60	60
0.24	108	168
0.22	72	240
0.21	10	250
0.20	100	350
0.19	658	1,008
0.18	100	1,108
0.17	5	1,113
0.15	5	1,118
0.13	16	1,134
0.12	201	1,335
0.11	64	1,398

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.75	60	60
0.76	108	168
0.78	72	240
0.79	10	250
0.80	100	350
0.81	658	1,008
0.82	100	1,108
0.83	5	1,113
0.85	5	1,118
0.87	16	1,134
0.88	201	1,335
0.89	64	1,398

Spread0.03Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.72	32	32
0.69	150	182
0.68	12	194
0.67	10	205
0.66	6	211
0.65	91	302
0.55	9	311
0.42	33	344
0.41	20	364
0.26	60	424
0.16	10	434
0.12	20	454

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
MrBauer	Yes	2,347.9
youtube-trader	Yes	70.49
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	69.23
imqp11	Yes	41.12
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.	Yes	33.33
Laribobibo	Yes	21
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	20
RandyHickey	Yes	19.98
0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F	Yes	12.5
romanew-crypto	Yes	11.14
ddd1d43	Yes	10
ddaasdf	Yes	10
asdfasdf11	Yes	10
bbd113d	Yes	9.99
GuyFromTinder	Yes	9.66
winexecutescale	Yes	6.01
arbinglike99	Yes	3.61
mangostein	Yes	1.25
0x14a1…9912	No	606.7
vinii	No	414.94

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:00:57	BUY	No	0.76	5	$3.81
03:00:57	BUY	Yes	0.2515090543	50	$12.50
03:00:57	SELL	No	0.7632254943	310	$236.62
03:00:57	BUY	Yes	0.25	50	$12.50
01:50:43	BUY	Yes	0.21	20	$4.20
00:57:33	SELL	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
00:57:19	SELL	Yes	0.2	10	$2.00
00:55:48	BUY	Yes	0.2177698801	45	$9.80
00:51:21	BUY	Yes	0.213330371	45	$9.60
00:50:34	SELL	Yes	0.19	32	$6.08
00:50:31	BUY	Yes	0.21	11	$2.31
00:50:31	BUY	No	0.7340993789	322	$236.38
00:50:31	BUY	No	0.81	20	$16.20
00:50:31	BUY	No	0.81	20	$16.20
19:28:15	BUY	No	0.5	100	$50.00
16:50:13	BUY	No	0.78	1	$1.00
11:25:34	BUY	No	0.69	40	$27.60
10:35:46	SELL	No	0.64	1	$0.68
10:21:01	SELL	Yes	0.25	1	$0.18
10:21:00	SELL	No	0.73	112	$82.01
10:21:00	BUY	Yes	0.3	10	$3.00
10:21:00	BUY	Yes	0.2799999919	20	$5.51
10:21:00	BUY	Yes	0.3	10	$3.00
10:21:00	BUY	Yes	0.2899999914	20	$5.70
10:21:00	BUY	Yes	0.29	25	$7.25