Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 19, 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-09-20

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.009. down 0.126 over the period, from 0.135. Range 0.005 to 0.140. 51 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.018	373	373
0.019	40	414
0.030	44	458
0.091	300	758
0.092	100	858
0.161	70	928
0.162	5	933
0.351	595	1,528
0.352	30	1,558
0.355	155	1,713
0.401	68	1,780
0.402	368	2,148

Spread0.017Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.001	23	23

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.999	23	23

Spread0.017Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.982	373	373
0.981	40	414
0.970	44	458
0.909	300	758
0.908	100	858
0.839	70	928
0.838	5	933
0.649	595	1,528
0.648	30	1,558
0.645	155	1,713
0.599	68	1,780
0.598	368	2,148

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
balthazar	Yes	2,509.99
ConfusedUngaBunga	Yes	373.43
0x11b2…6d33	Yes	84.47
.Menthe	Yes	50
AJSV	Yes	50
TENETENET	Yes	10
Hugin-og-Munin	Yes	10
bjprolo	Yes	5
triklozoid	Yes	5
soliton137	Yes	1.75
0xa5ef…2966	No	2,637.75
Waterfall	No	455.43
0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395	No	7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:22:07	BUY	No	0.999	5	$5.03
18:23:37	SELL	Yes	0.001	2	$0.00
18:23:13	BUY	No	0.999	14	$13.94
18:23:12	BUY	No	0.999	14	$13.49
18:23:12	BUY	No	0.999	25	$24.98
23:00:03	BUY	Yes	0.0105114	50	$0.53
14:23:06	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.99
11:59:40	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.99
11:59:40	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.99
11:59:27	BUY	No	0.999	5	$5.00
11:03:03	BUY	No	0.999	20	$19.98
09:47:51	SELL	Yes	0.001	2	$0.00
09:47:40	BUY	No	0.999	10	$9.99
06:59:48	BUY	No	0.999	19	$19.21
06:57:15	BUY	No	0.9987	20	$19.97
00:22:58	BUY	No	0.9888814318	447	$442.03