Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-02
Resolves by: https://waterservices.usgs.gov/nwis/dv/?sites=10010000&parameterCd=62614&startDT=2026-01-01&endDT=2026-12-31&format=rdb
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.15. down 0.10 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.15 to 0.32. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.17	20	20
0.18	55	75
0.19	325	400
0.20	45	445
0.25	27	472
0.26	129	601
0.29	10	611
0.30	57	668
0.35	125	793
0.36	40	833
0.43	100	933
0.44	50	983

Spread0.03Mid0.16

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	125	125
0.13	320	445
0.12	450	895
0.06	67	962
0.01	10	972

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	125	125
0.87	320	445
0.88	450	895
0.94	67	962
0.99	10	972

Spread0.03Mid0.84

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.83	20	20
0.82	55	75
0.81	325	400
0.80	45	445
0.75	27	472
0.74	129	601
0.71	10	611
0.70	57	668
0.65	125	793
0.64	40	833
0.57	100	933
0.56	50	983

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Haradwaith	Yes	45.1
Dr.PNL	Yes	45
AJSV	Yes	35.83
youtube-trader	Yes	26.55
karlson4675	Yes	20
just-bettor	Yes	20
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192	Yes	20
Bot1365	Yes	20
GuyFromTinder	Yes	15
0xa5ef…2966	No	187.38
0xf51b…ca1b	No	60.1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
02:57:51	BUY	No	0.85	55	$46.75
16:46:52	BUY	No	0.75	50	$37.50
16:46:52	BUY	No	0.75	45	$33.75
23:37:42	BUY	Yes	0.26	5	$1.30
23:37:42	SELL	No	0.74	5	$3.70
17:17:03	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
14:00:11	BUY	No	0.7	5	$3.50
07:53:14	BUY	No	0.75	50	$37.58
07:39:51	BUY	No	0.74	5	$3.70
07:37:03	SELL	No	0.73	5	$3.65
07:36:23	SELL	Yes	0.26	30	$7.80
07:31:14	SELL	Yes	0.25	30	$7.50
07:31:12	BUY	No	0.74	30	$22.20
07:31:11	BUY	No	0.73	50	$36.50
11:39:26	BUY	Yes	0.28	20	$5.60
18:35:09	BUY	No	0.69	20	$13.80