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Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

karlson4675

0x24ae0e3b45d03293be086d239c32f40079ad7117

Realised P&L
$-97.55
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$66.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will global temperature increase by between 1.45ºC and 1.49ºC in October 2026? · No0.7000.695$13.90−$0.10
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Narrative at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.7200.700$10.97−$0.31
Will Yandy Díaz lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI? · Yes0.1100.190$7.60+$3.20
Will the Democratic Party hold more governorships after the 2026 midterms? · No0.5500.345$6.90−$4.10
Will 35% to 44% of Milk Cows inventory be in D1-D4 drought this week? · No0.7100.270$5.40−$8.80
Will there be under 20 tornadoes in the US in October 2026? · No0.6600.665$5.19+$0.04
Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias? · No0.8100.259$5.18−$11.02
Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be 100mm or more? · Yes0.3100.335$4.03+$0.30
Will the lowest 2026 Great Salt Lake elevation be below 4,189.3 ft? · Yes0.3100.155$3.10−$3.10
Will Colson Montgomery lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI? · Yes0.0600.130$2.60+$1.40
Will Miguel Vargas lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in RBI? · Yes0.0600.100$2.00+$0.80
Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be less than $3.50T at the end of October 2026? · Yes0.0800.056$1.05−$0.47
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? · Yes0.0800.090$0.90+$0.10
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? · Yes0.0800.040$0.80−$0.80
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Eastern Conference? · Yes0.0800.026$0.53−$1.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 12:18Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections?SELL0.795$15.90
10-04 10:17Will Dustin May lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?SELL0.16$6.40
10-02 15:05Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?SELL0.1589461442$8.88
10-02 15:00Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?BUY0.1975536361$7.09
09-27 01:42Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?SELL0.9$17.75
09-16 15:12Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%?SELL0.89$17.11
09-14 12:10Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.89$14.95
09-08 12:42Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026?SELL0.125$2.50
09-07 17:22Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year?SELL0.86$17.20
09-05 06:24Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next?SELL0.88$13.20
09-05 04:52Will Kevin Byard finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions?SELL0.88$13.20
09-05 03:00Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next?SELL0.06$1.20
09-02 20:32Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 89°F or 90°F?SELL0.87$12.18
09-01 11:23Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026?SELL0.31$0.69
08-31 19:24Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000?SELL0.11375$4.55