karlson4675
0x24ae0e3b45d03293be086d239c32f40079ad7117
- Realised P&L
- $-97.55
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $66.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.640Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$2.13at 0.100Will Dustin May lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts?
- +$1.80at 0.810Will Accelevation's market cap be between $4.5B and $5B at market close on IPO day?
- +$1.54at 0.248Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-02 House election by 40%-45%?
- +$1.51at 0.900Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 12:18 | Will Boris Guido Morey Sifuentes win the next Maynas mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.795 | $15.90 |
| 10-04 10:17 | Will Dustin May lead the 2026 MLB Postseason in strikeouts? | SELL | 0.16 | $6.40 |
| 10-02 15:05 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | SELL | 0.1589461442 | $8.88 |
| 10-02 15:00 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m? | BUY | 0.1975536361 | $7.09 |
| 09-27 01:42 | Will Marc-Antoine Bernier win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.9 | $17.75 |
| 09-16 15:12 | Will the peak severe (S2+) drought coverage in Minas Gerais be 40% to 59.99%? | SELL | 0.89 | $17.11 |
| 09-14 12:10 | Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $10B and $11B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.95 |
| 09-08 12:42 | Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $5.50T and $6.00T at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.125 | $2.50 |
| 09-07 17:22 | Will Jake Piseno win the 2026 PLL Long Stick Midfielder of the Year? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-05 06:24 | Will Joe Pyfer fight Gregory Rodrigues next? | SELL | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 09-05 04:52 | Will Kevin Byard finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions? | SELL | 0.88 | $13.20 |
| 09-05 03:00 | Will Conor McGregor fight Michael Chandler next? | SELL | 0.06 | $1.20 |
| 09-02 20:32 | Will the highest temperature during Burning Man 2026 be 89°F or 90°F? | SELL | 0.87 | $12.18 |
| 09-01 11:23 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between September 7 and September 13, 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.69 |
| 08-31 19:24 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,350,000 and 1,400,000? | SELL | 0.11375 | $4.55 |