Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 80% or higher?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
- Ends
- 2027-01-01
- Resolves by
- https://agi.safe.ai/
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.072 | 235 | 235 |
| 0.073 | 265 | 500 |
| 0.083 | 140 | 640 |
| 0.090 | 22 | 662 |
| 0.094 | 20 | 682 |
| 0.207 | 9 | 691 |
| 0.208 | 10 | 701 |
| 0.736 | 300 | 1,001 |
| 0.737 | 1,000 | 2,001 |
| 0.740 | 5 | 2,006 |
| 0.840 | 6 | 2,013 |
| 0.890 | 9 | 2,022 |
Spread0.006Mid0.069
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.066 | 241 | 241 |
| 0.065 | 205 | 446 |
| 0.038 | 400 | 846 |
| 0.037 | 30 | 876 |
| 0.034 | 300 | 1,176 |
| 0.030 | 420 | 1,596 |
| 0.029 | 2,880 | 4,476 |
| 0.026 | 40 | 4,516 |
| 0.020 | 18 | 4,534 |
| 0.015 | 122 | 4,655 |
| 0.010 | 500 | 5,155 |
| 0.002 | 1,200 | 6,355 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.934 | 241 | 241 |
| 0.935 | 205 | 446 |
| 0.962 | 400 | 846 |
| 0.963 | 30 | 876 |
| 0.966 | 300 | 1,176 |
| 0.970 | 420 | 1,596 |
| 0.971 | 2,880 | 4,476 |
| 0.974 | 40 | 4,516 |
| 0.980 | 18 | 4,534 |
| 0.985 | 122 | 4,655 |
| 0.990 | 500 | 5,155 |
| 0.998 | 1,200 | 6,355 |
Spread0.006Mid0.931
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.928 | 235 | 235 |
| 0.927 | 265 | 500 |
| 0.917 | 140 | 640 |
| 0.910 | 22 | 662 |
| 0.906 | 20 | 682 |
| 0.793 | 9 | 691 |
| 0.792 | 10 | 701 |
| 0.264 | 300 | 1,001 |
| 0.263 | 1,000 | 2,001 |
| 0.260 | 5 | 2,006 |
| 0.160 | 6 | 2,013 |
| 0.110 | 9 | 2,022 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Yeahsingularityyah | Yes | 297.46 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 183 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 36.39 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 22 |
| bechamel | Yes | 20 |
| AJSV | Yes | 16.86 |
| Olcan | No | 576.31 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:36:19 | BUY | No | 0.913 | 73 | $66.48 |
| 23:45:25 | SELL | No | 0.91 | 20 | $18.20 |
| 23:43:54 | SELL | No | 0.9246909021 | 52 | $48.07 |
| 23:42:22 | SELL | No | 0.932 | 37 | $34.48 |
| 23:42:13 | SELL | No | 0.932 | 20 | $18.64 |
| 23:42:06 | SELL | No | 0.932 | 40 | $37.28 |
| 23:42:06 | SELL | No | 0.932 | 20 | $18.64 |
| 23:42:04 | BUY | Yes | 0.0672353324 | 297 | $20.00 |
| 14:34:03 | SELL | Yes | 0.083 | 50 | $4.15 |
| 07:58:34 | SELL | Yes | 0.084 | 22 | $1.88 |
| 17:14:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.084 | 21 | $1.76 |
| 14:16:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.062 | 21 | $1.30 |
| 08:11:06 | SELL | No | 0.94 | 19 | $18.22 |
| 08:10:45 | SELL | No | 0.9441658776 | 116 | $109.68 |
| 09:09:18 | SELL | Yes | 0.046 | 20 | $0.92 |
| 03:46:36 | SELL | Yes | 0.04 | 20 | $0.80 |
| 14:45:42 | BUY | No | 0.911 | 150 | $136.65 |
| 14:45:36 | SELL | Yes | 0.089 | 50 | $4.45 |
| 14:45:36 | BUY | No | 0.88465625 | 128 | $113.24 |
| 14:45:33 | SELL | Yes | 0.116 | 20 | $2.32 |
| 14:45:28 | BUY | No | 0.8681153846 | 208 | $180.57 |
| 00:49:32 | SELL | No | 0.95 | 20 | $19.00 |
| 07:49:12 | SELL | Yes | 0.08 | 56 | $4.48 |
| 07:41:53 | SELL | Yes | 0.1 | 23 | $2.30 |
| 00:56:02 | BUY | No | 0.79 | 23 | $18.17 |