PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

polesk8888

0x7a5cb991e181d3010c04c12d6a17a0b937ce767b

Realised P&L
$-9.1k
Volume
$375.6k
Markets traded
4,827
Open portfolio
$102.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,827
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? · No0.8800.645$32.25−$11.75
Will Excelsior be relegated from the 2026-27 Eredivisie? · No0.9070.875$17.49−$0.65
Will the USS George H.W. Bush be in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? · Yes0.9200.555$11.10−$7.30
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes0.9440.130$6.47−$40.72
Dutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026? · Yes0.0820.043$2.15−$1.95
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · No0.9370.086$2.10−$20.66
Will François Ruffin advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · Yes0.0600.040$1.98−$1.02
Will Iraq recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0430.039$1.95−$0.20
Will Nuevas Ideas (NI) win the most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election? · No0.0640.038$1.93−$1.27
Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? · Yes0.0630.034$1.68−$1.47
Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice? · Yes0.0620.029$1.43−$1.67
Will JD Vance visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1010.071$1.42−$0.60
Will the Browns win the season series against the Bengals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.1700.070$1.40−$2.00
Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.0410.028$1.40−$0.65
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0410.024$1.20−$0.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:27Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.9306$46.53
11-01 20:57Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.904$45.20
11-01 20:07Will Dune: Part Three be delayed?SELL0.951$47.55
11-01 17:54Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.0326$1.63
11-01 17:47Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales?SELL0.85$17.00
11-01 14:17Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.03$1.50
11-01 14:17Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.966$48.30
11-01 13:37StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9677604$48.39
11-01 12:37Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9$45.00
11-01 10:17Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?SELL0.839524$41.98
11-01 07:21Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026?SELL0.972$48.60
11-01 04:57Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.896$44.80
11-01 03:27Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?SELL0.905$45.25
11-01 01:15Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.028$1.12
11-01 01:15Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.012$0.24