polesk8888
0x7a5cb991e181d3010c04c12d6a17a0b937ce767b
- Realised P&L
- $-9.1k
- Volume
- $375.6k
- Markets traded
- 4,827
- Open portfolio
- $102.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,827
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.08at 0.950Will Prabowo Subianto cease to be President of Indonesia by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.45at 0.130Will Ed Markey win the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary by 30–35%?
- +$2.06at 0.640Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$0.90at 0.840Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 27?
- +$0.79at 0.090Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:27 | Ostium FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9306 | $46.53 |
| 11-01 20:57 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.904 | $45.20 |
| 11-01 20:07 | Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? | SELL | 0.951 | $47.55 |
| 11-01 17:54 | Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | SELL | 0.0326 | $1.63 |
| 11-01 17:47 | Will Rose Jackson be the next Premier of New South Wales? | SELL | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 11-01 14:17 | Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.03 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 14:17 | Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.966 | $48.30 |
| 11-01 13:37 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9677604 | $48.39 |
| 11-01 12:37 | Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 11-01 10:17 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | SELL | 0.839524 | $41.98 |
| 11-01 07:21 | Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $48.60 |
| 11-01 04:57 | Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.896 | $44.80 |
| 11-01 03:27 | Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? | SELL | 0.905 | $45.25 |
| 11-01 01:15 | Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.028 | $1.12 |
| 11-01 01:15 | Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.24 |