brzcfh
0x16d2d15e5df6b3505d2de38b94f7f3ba3c17b413
- Realised P&L
- $-150.98
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $82.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.15at 0.210Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$12.22at 0.144Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$10.48at 0.421Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.52at 0.21050% Brazil tariff in effect by August 1?
- +$6.08at 0.230Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 17:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 17:43 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0196924046 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 14:11 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 09-16 14:09 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4619999924 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 16:57 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4939999995 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 14:41 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.7629999939 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 13:18 | Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 13:18 | Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 17:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? | BUY | 0.0561604015 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 17:45 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0482758614 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 17:10 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 17:07 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.57 | $35.78 |
| 09-11 17:05 | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.44 |
| 09-10 13:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.52 | $5.20 |
| 09-10 12:28 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0529999987 | $2.00 |