Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-28
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.26. down 0.06 over the period, from 0.32. Range 0.20 to 0.34. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.27	497	497
0.28	1,516	2,013
0.29	2,573	4,586
0.33	186	4,773
0.34	80	4,853
0.35	1,199	6,052
0.36	3,194	9,246
0.37	550	9,796
0.42	100	9,896
0.43	100	9,996
0.44	50	10,046
0.45	50	10,096

Spread0.03Mid0.26

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.24	1,897	1,897
0.23	12,426	14,323
0.22	322	14,645
0.21	28	14,673
0.18	1,000	15,673
0.17	294	15,967
0.10	51	16,018
0.07	286	16,304
0.06	333	16,637
0.05	1,916	18,553
0.04	8,200	26,753
0.03	25,821	52,574

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.76	1,897	1,897
0.77	12,426	14,323
0.78	322	14,645
0.79	28	14,673
0.82	1,000	15,673
0.83	294	15,967
0.90	51	16,018
0.93	286	16,304
0.94	333	16,637
0.95	1,916	18,553
0.96	8,200	26,753
0.97	25,821	52,574

Spread0.03Mid0.74

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.73	497	497
0.72	1,516	2,013
0.71	2,573	4,586
0.67	186	4,773
0.66	80	4,853
0.65	1,199	6,052
0.64	3,194	9,246
0.63	550	9,796
0.58	100	9,896
0.57	100	9,996
0.56	50	10,046
0.55	50	10,096

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	Yes	5,006.1
RisottoPasta	Yes	3,005
LePaix	Yes	3,000
neutralwave23	Yes	2,245.17
happy00	Yes	1,789.97
Deadheadbucky	Yes	1,628.01
Crabsoup92	Yes	1,358.37
HolyMoses7	Yes	1,028.14
liq2	Yes	778.79
IF.ai	Yes	592.82
trashtier	Yes	508.89
0x88da…15c6	Yes	434.78
convictiontrap	Yes	350.82
0xc5BBef0e4157F4B5C9FeeD94c1fe87DECAc63D4C-1761365823389	Yes	273.1
donthackme	Yes	230.75
drroley	Yes	205.06
jollyjoes	Yes	200
BEUEsp	Yes	200
Boredape	Yes	200
rousseauuu	Yes	161.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:45:20	SELL	Yes	0.2433	100	$24.33
03:44:32	SELL	Yes	0.25	100	$25.00
03:42:18	SELL	Yes	0.25	100	$25.00
03:32:20	SELL	Yes	0.25	100	$25.00
03:28:54	SELL	Yes	0.258968	100	$25.90
03:23:27	SELL	Yes	0.26	100	$26.00
03:21:03	SELL	Yes	0.263671	100	$26.37
03:07:00	SELL	Yes	0.27	100	$27.00
16:55:14	SELL	No	0.73	51	$37.23
16:54:33	SELL	No	0.73	100	$73.00
16:54:33	SELL	No	0.73	143	$104.39
16:54:32	SELL	No	0.73	200	$146.00
16:54:29	BUY	Yes	0.26	1,358	$353.18
12:18:08	SELL	No	0.74	1	$1.02
11:08:39	BUY	Yes	0.2599999646	19	$5.00
06:19:35	SELL	Yes	0.24	8	$1.92
04:08:23	BUY	Yes	0.25	3,000	$750.00
03:29:12	BUY	Yes	0.25	4	$1.00
03:07:47	SELL	No	0.75	62	$46.48
02:55:59	SELL	No	0.75	100	$75.00
02:51:47	SELL	No	0.75	100	$75.00
02:17:18	SELL	Yes	0.24	25	$6.00
00:35:59	SELL	Yes	0.24	8	$1.92
21:30:45	SELL	No	0.75	50	$37.50
21:30:18	SELL	No	0.75	55	$41.25