0x19ea518677C1f1B0Ab55582084Fc250c256E5D08-1767815932117
0x19ea518677c1f1b0ab55582084fc250c256e5d08
- Realised P&L
- $-581.91
- Volume
- $161.8k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $131.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.011 | $131.25 | +$31.42 |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.53 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.98 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.96at 0.006Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?
- +$-1.99at 0.003Ranger FDV above $60M one day after launch?
- +$-9.00at 0.005Ranger FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$-10.92at 0.006Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$-154.29at 0.006Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 19:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $78.20 |
| 09-11 19:13 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.009 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 11:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $96.00 |
| 07-15 07:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.08 | $75.53 |
| 06-26 21:01 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.00 |
| 06-26 20:26 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.007 | $11.62 |
| 06-26 20:20 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.012 | $12.00 |
| 06-26 20:10 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.013 | $10.83 |
| 06-26 19:25 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | SELL | 0.045082 | $45.08 |
| 06-26 19:21 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 06-17 10:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.003 | $42.90 |
| 04-25 21:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $15.20 |
| 04-25 21:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $25.20 |
| 04-08 20:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $49.20 |
| 04-05 18:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $30.00 |