PolyBot

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Traders

noblesse.oblige

0x24d2dce995531ddcde1960388cbf20f5edd41472

Realised P&L
$-45.5k
Volume
$2.48M
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration93.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 06:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.55$44.00
10-29 06:16Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$12.80
10-29 05:47Macron out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.031$10.16
10-29 04:45Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.21$10.50
10-25 16:48Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.07$0.70
10-24 14:38Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.058$2.90
10-24 14:33Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.058$2.90
10-24 14:32Macron out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.057$1.14
10-24 13:07Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.06$30.00
10-24 12:03Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.55$4.86
10-24 11:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?BUY0.29$21.75
10-24 11:53Macron out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0397891083$47.75
10-24 11:42Macron out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.048$1.07
10-24 00:04Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.06$18.00
10-23 18:11Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.06$4.80