PolyBot

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Traders

noblesse.oblige

0x24d2dce995531ddcde1960388cbf20f5edd41472

Realised P&L
$-46.1k
Volume
$2.29M
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:44Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$1.60
09-17 14:00Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$35.00
09-17 13:59Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.08$40.00
09-17 13:57Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$50.00
09-17 13:55Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$350.00
09-17 13:55Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.08$40.00
09-17 13:49Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$3.50
09-17 12:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$7.00
09-16 17:54Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$15.60
09-16 17:48Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$13.00
09-16 17:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$2.00
09-16 17:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.04$2.00
09-16 17:01Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.005$2.50
09-16 16:39Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.012$2.00
09-16 16:18Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.11$33.00