noblesse.oblige
0x24d2dce995531ddcde1960388cbf20f5edd41472
- Realised P&L
- $-46.1k
- Volume
- $2.29M
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.2kat 0.980Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$4.4kat 0.377Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?
- +$1.1kat 0.260Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$374.94at 0.934Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
- +$366.55at 0.487Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 16:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.60 |
| 09-17 14:00 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $35.00 |
| 09-17 13:59 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 13:57 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 13:55 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $350.00 |
| 09-17 13:55 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $40.00 |
| 09-17 13:49 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $3.50 |
| 09-17 12:35 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |
| 09-16 17:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $15.60 |
| 09-16 17:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.00 |
| 09-16 17:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 17:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.04 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 17:01 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.005 | $2.50 |
| 09-16 16:39 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.012 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 16:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.11 | $33.00 |