PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x78e7a8a4Dfa99aF9A18b9DEF96672feB83Db2C77-1779178529250

0x78e7a8a4dfa99af9a18b9def96672feb83db2c77

Realised P&L
$1.8k
Volume
$1.07M
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.0200.012$536.18$377.74
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1670.055$465.56$945.64
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0590.042$433.53$181.46
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? · Yes0.0350.025$344.25$155.74
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0560.011$205.09$790.47
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1200.140$116.67+$16.67
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$877.40
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$250.00
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00$200.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$155.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$27.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$60.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? · No0.0040.000$0.00$891.52
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Belgium? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$200.00
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium? · Yes0.0230.000$0.00$199.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:31US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0175045449$300.00
08-02 07:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.029$200.00
08-02 07:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.048$300.00
08-02 07:30US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.119999999$100.00
07-20 08:06US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.041931361$300.00
07-20 08:06US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0181289659$332.00
07-20 08:06US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0627432699$200.00
07-11 14:11US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0319941474$82.00
07-11 08:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.1398880084$300.00
07-11 08:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0408723231$95.00
07-11 08:25Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0059999999$100.00
07-11 08:24US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999929$15.00
07-11 08:24US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0197467839$200.00
07-11 08:24US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?BUY0.0299999999$200.00
07-11 08:24US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999989$100.00