PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the PA-04 House seat?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.970. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.971. Range 0.714 to 0.980. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9771111
0.9812031
0.9823263
0.984972
0.986449521
0.98887608
0.9905351,143
0.9912201,363
0.9921,1122,475
0.993622,537
0.994112,548
0.9951952,743

Spread0.014Mid0.970

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9634040
0.9602060
0.951234294
0.95050344
0.947400744
0.9419031,647
0.9401,0002,647
0.9312342,881
0.9302,0004,881
0.9285595,440
0.8685005,940
0.7691606,100

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0374040
0.0402060
0.049234294
0.05050344
0.053400744
0.0599031,647
0.0601,0002,647
0.0692342,881
0.0702,0004,881
0.0725595,440
0.1325005,940
0.2311606,100

Spread0.014Mid0.030

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0231111
0.0192031
0.0183263
0.016972
0.014449521
0.01287608
0.0105351,143
0.0092201,363
0.0081,1122,475
0.007622,537
0.006112,548
0.0051952,743

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SitsToPeeYes476.67
oneofthepplYes100
sigmaYieldYes48.85
VollhorstYes21.4
e46m3Yes18
iloveu4everYes15.46
xujimatrixYes7
0x67e01A20927d908A2Dbd84bB214BDb17ebC5F82B-1768919555663Yes1.1
xtxpleasecallmeNo169.85
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.No160
BSS37No100
Biver52No100
richyeeNo50
Rain-Prob-01No25
baerwiththegewehrNo20
rubby1337No20
0xa5ef…2966No17
bullbull88No15.46
brraNo10
16r0obNo1.18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
15:26:12SELLNo0.0415$0.62
15:26:07BUYYes0.9615$14.84
15:25:46BUYYes0.9615$14.84
15:25:45BUYYes0.9620$19.20
15:25:45BUYYes0.96100$96.00
14:25:37BUYNo0.03870$2.65
13:55:40BUYYes0.9518$17.10
03:40:46BUYNo0.0621$1.26
01:40:58SELLNo0.0550$2.50
01:39:09BUYYes0.9450$47.00
03:56:48SELLNo0.0630$1.80
22:53:13SELLYes0.9439$36.66
15:57:35BUYNo0.0640$2.40
15:56:20BUYNo0.0640$2.40
14:57:52SELLNo0.04850$2.40
14:09:31BUYNo0.0640$2.40
00:09:38BUYYes0.967$6.72
19:03:49BUYYes0.9511$10.00
13:51:38SELLNo0.0550$2.50
08:22:44SELLYes0.946$5.63
17:26:05BUYYes0.956$5.69
02:31:08SELLNo0.05473$23.65
01:57:23SELLNo0.0550$2.50
01:57:01SELLNo0.0550$2.50
00:42:20SELLNo0.0550$2.50