PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 80%-85%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.005. up 0.004 over the period, from 0.002. Range 0.002 to 0.005. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0081515
0.0094661
0.01040101
0.02024125
0.04016141
0.34720161
0.57720181
0.57848229
0.61920249
0.620250499
0.667240739
0.6703601,099

Spread0.006Mid0.005

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.002180180
0.001562742

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.998180180
0.999562742

Spread0.006Mid0.995

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9921515
0.9914661
0.99040101
0.98024125
0.96016141
0.65320161
0.42320181
0.42248229
0.38120249
0.380250499
0.333240739
0.3303601,099

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes200.07
sanduspaceYes80.74
shiifooYes67
2B9SYes53.39
pushthatthingYes50.67
VonVonaghYes47.76
RadioCCODYes10
lolzzzlolYes10
0xa5ef…2966No477.02
cigarettesNo40
0x8996…1d00No1.5
0x539b…c64fNo1.11

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:08:24BUYYes0.00850$0.40
07:08:21BUYNo0.99810$9.98
07:08:21BUYNo0.99840$40.03
21:53:09BUYYes0.00620$0.12
21:15:54SELLNo0.9921$1.13
23:11:09BUYNo0.9981$1.11
23:11:08BUYNo0.9982$1.50
23:10:57BUYNo0.9976415$14.96
23:10:57BUYNo0.9985$4.99
23:10:48BUYNo0.99746340$39.90
23:10:47BUYNo0.9985$4.99
23:10:47BUYNo0.99840$39.92
06:01:22BUYNo0.99715$14.50
06:01:17BUYNo0.9967$6.47
06:01:16BUYNo0.9966$5.91
20:00:26BUYYes0.0255$0.13
21:27:46BUYYes0.02518$0.44
09:16:08BUYYes0.01620$0.32
09:15:47BUYNo0.99620$19.92
22:25:44BUYYes0.0410$0.40
08:17:15BUYNo0.95910$9.59
16:44:15BUYYes0.043999998423$1.02
04:47:49BUYNo0.968$7.80
04:47:48BUYNo0.9625$24.00
02:47:51BUYNo0.9595$4.79