pushthatthing
0x8e1faf89c43b6280f1939f5d37a7d29a0a25991b
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $236.2k
- Markets traded
- 4,237
- Open portfolio
- $85.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,237
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.84at 0.034Will "Michael Jackson: The Verdict" be the top global Netflix show this week?
- +$77.92at 0.010Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C on August 26?
- +$52.61at 0.020Will Philadelphia Union vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
- +$45.96at 0.002Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?
- +$38.55at 0.010Grayson Allen: Points O/U 14.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:57 | Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 11-02 07:13 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-06 House election by 40% or more? | SELL | 0.085 | $0.24 |
| 11-02 00:16 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 11-01 23:29 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 24? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.28 |
| 11-01 21:20 | Will John Tavares record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.56 |
| 11-01 19:24 | Will John Tavares record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.061 | $0.56 |
| 11-01 14:04 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 28? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.29 |
| 11-01 07:48 | Will Republicans win the Michigan Governor election and Democrats win the Michigan Senate election? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.00 |
| 10-31 14:10 | Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.24 |
| 10-31 14:10 | Will Kirill Kaprizov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.29 |
| 10-31 14:10 | Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.10 |
| 10-31 12:48 | Will Indiana make College Football Playoff Semifinals? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 10-31 01:34 | Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on November 6, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.39 |
| 10-30 17:50 | Will Aleksander Barkov record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.507 | $5.51 |
| 10-30 09:40 | Will Clayton Keller record 80+ points in the 2026-27 regular season? | SELL | 0.65 | $13.40 |