0x8996468dcb5d26657b485fcd35c2fe7ad6741d00
0x8996468dcb5d26657b485fcd35c2fe7ad6741d00
- Realised P&L
- $-18.42
- Volume
- $370.36
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $61.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.78at 0.326Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$5.10at 0.440Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
- +$4.70at 0.382Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$3.75at 0.587Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$3.74at 0.602Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:53 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 11-01 17:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.20 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.13 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.12 |
| 10-27 03:55 | Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.13 |
| 10-27 03:13 | Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October? | BUY | 0.9799999822 | $1.10 |
| 10-27 02:31 | Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.35 |
| 10-26 05:26 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.913999955 | $1.22 |
| 10-26 05:26 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.34 |
| 10-26 05:26 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.7649999554 | $1.03 |
| 10-17 23:21 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%? | BUY | 0.9869999962 | $1.04 |