PolyBot

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Traders

0x8996468dcb5d26657b485fcd35c2fe7ad6741d00

0x8996468dcb5d26657b485fcd35c2fe7ad6741d00

Realised P&L
$-18.42
Volume
$370.36
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$61.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · No0.9200.875$5.94−$0.31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 6%-9%? · No0.9200.953$5.64+$0.20
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%? · No0.9800.830$4.83−$0.88
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 30% or more? · No0.9900.965$4.15−$0.11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 12% or more? · No0.8600.680$3.97−$1.05
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 15%-20%? · No0.7800.675$2.90−$0.45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NH-02 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.9430.909$2.76−$0.10
Will inKONBINI: One Store. Many Stories win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.9990.999$1.51−$0.00
Will Phonopolis win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.9990.998$1.51−$0.00
Will Vampire Crawlers win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.9990.996$1.50−$0.00
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election? · No0.9970.995$1.50−$0.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 80%-85%? · No0.9980.995$1.50−$0.00
Will Esoteric Ebb win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards? · No0.9820.982$1.49+$0.00
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-12 House election by 0%-45%? · No0.9950.958$1.43−$0.06
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026? · No0.9900.983$1.34−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:53Will the Democratic Party win the TX-10 House seat?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
11-01 17:45Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on November 2?BUY0.998$1.20
10-27 03:55Will Tarris Reed Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$1.13
10-27 03:55Will Kingston Flemings win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$1.13
10-27 03:55Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.9969999991$1.13
10-27 03:55Will Labaron Philon Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.998$1.13
10-27 03:55Will Ebuka Okorie win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$1.13
10-27 03:55Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.995$1.12
10-27 03:55Will Bennett Stirtz win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.999$1.13
10-27 03:13Will PPI YoY be 6.5% in October?BUY0.9799999822$1.10
10-27 02:31Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.50 and $6.00 on December 31, 2026?BUY0.99$1.35
10-26 05:26Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.913999955$1.22
10-26 05:26Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.998$1.34
10-26 05:26Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7649999554$1.03
10-17 23:21Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 4.0% and 4.4%?BUY0.9869999962$1.04