PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-04 House election by 65%-70%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.052. up 0.037 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.013 to 0.132. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0894848
0.0904896
0.25250146
0.2538154
0.27210164
0.55620184
0.58845229
0.58930259
0.5905264
0.709321585
0.7101,7572,342
0.7502,5384,879

Spread0.074Mid0.052

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0156767
0.0072087
0.006120207
0.005200407
0.0046413
0.003207619
0.002218838
0.00182920

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9856767
0.9932087
0.994120207
0.995200407
0.9966413
0.997207619
0.998218838
0.99982920

Spread0.074Mid0.948

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9114848
0.9104896
0.74850146
0.7478154
0.72810164
0.44420184
0.41245229
0.41130259
0.4105264
0.291321585
0.2901,7572,342
0.2502,5384,879

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
fkpaYes700
Barnacle24Yes269.41
AJSVYes57.55
pootytherewardfarmerYes55
VonVonaghYes50
resilience26Yes47.87
planktonXDYes47
73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.Yes40
PPMTYes30
LornaPredictsYes21.36
crossFiterYes18
pppnnYes17
BobbyBakedBeansYes15.48
0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911Yes14
TENETENETYes10
triklozoidYes5
0xa5ef…2966No1,369.38
cigarettesNo20
Hugin-og-MuninNo5
0xF7F7C9A10D6E567c6a3a01F001FE49A7ffe7AA34-1782564464465No3.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:09:39SELLYes0.05618$1.01
06:45:51SELLYes0.05718$1.00
06:42:19SELLYes0.08150$4.05
13:35:46SELLYes0.18147$8.51
13:32:39SELLYes0.20440$8.16
13:28:39BUYNo0.7620$15.20
13:28:25SELLYes0.24130$7.23
13:24:57BUYYes0.0291960784102$2.98
13:09:10SELLYes0.01248$0.57
13:09:10BUYYes0.013350$4.55
05:55:01SELLYes0.013576923152$0.71
10:13:43BUYYes0.01348$0.62
10:13:43SELLYes0.01277$0.92
10:13:41BUYYes0.01377$1.00
10:13:38SELLYes0.01277$0.92
10:13:34BUYYes0.01377$1.00
10:13:31SELLYes0.01277$0.92
10:13:26BUYYes0.01377$1.00
10:13:20SELLYes0.01277$0.92
10:13:17BUYYes0.01377$1.00
10:13:11SELLYes0.01242$0.51
00:40:09BUYNo0.9885$4.94
23:06:15BUYYes0.02515$0.39
22:48:35SELLYes0.01320$0.26
20:37:03BUYYes0.0095438453366$3.49