PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.12 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.17 to 0.55. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.374040
0.782060
0.802080
0.811090
0.8220110
0.8720130
0.9020150
0.9711161
0.9838199
0.9913212

Spread0.05Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.32374374
0.3170444
0.2040484
0.1520504
0.1115519
0.0311530
0.0228558
0.0114572

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.68374374
0.6970444
0.8040484
0.8520504
0.8915519
0.9711530
0.9828558
0.9914572

Spread0.05Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.634040
0.222060
0.202080
0.191090
0.1820110
0.1320130
0.1020150
0.0311161
0.0238199
0.0113212

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
lissartterYes48.39
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862Yes47.91
ScoopdewhoopYes40
infoowlYes40
rplc-ftblYes35.2
AJSVYes20.33
tradetosurvive1Yes15
galhammermanYes15
2B9SYes14.47
frontiertradeYes10.09
0xbada…d874Yes9.93
doudoucYes2.79
OndraNo294.12
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519No5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:46:40SELLNo0.645$3.20
21:30:49BUYYes0.3335$11.55
21:30:49BUYYes0.345$1.70
21:30:48BUYYes0.335$1.65
21:30:48BUYYes0.335$1.65
21:28:16BUYYes0.325$1.60
21:21:19BUYYes0.3215$4.80
21:21:18BUYYes0.325$1.60
16:38:49SELLYes0.3120$6.20
16:06:42BUYNo0.6220$12.40
16:06:42SELLYes0.440$16.00
16:06:21SELLYes0.4120$8.20
14:38:30SELLYes0.410$4.00
14:14:49SELLYes0.3810$3.80
14:14:34SELLYes0.3821$7.81
12:11:00SELLNo0.6418$11.48
11:42:04SELLNo0.646$3.84
10:14:58SELLYes0.374$1.64
09:57:36SELLYes0.3731$11.56
07:21:25BUYYes0.2816$4.48
07:20:16BUYYes0.278737861864$17.82
07:15:09BUYYes0.2831$8.74
01:49:12SELLNo0.625$3.10
17:09:42BUYYes0.2913$3.74
16:42:12BUYYes0.3210$3.20