Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.01
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.48 | 559 | 559 |
| 0.49 | 538 | 1,097 |
| 0.50 | 148 | 1,245 |
| 0.56 | 218 | 1,463 |
| 0.79 | 14 | 1,477 |
| 0.80 | 66 | 1,543 |
| 0.86 | 36 | 1,579 |
| 0.95 | 50 | 1,629 |
| 0.96 | 8 | 1,638 |
| 0.97 | 3,333 | 4,971 |
| 0.98 | 162 | 5,133 |
| 0.99 | 392 | 5,525 |
Spread0.02Mid0.47
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.46 | 453 | 453 |
| 0.45 | 260 | 713 |
| 0.44 | 20 | 733 |
| 0.41 | 29 | 763 |
| 0.39 | 41 | 804 |
| 0.29 | 292 | 1,096 |
| 0.24 | 28 | 1,124 |
| 0.23 | 50 | 1,174 |
| 0.15 | 53 | 1,226 |
| 0.06 | 1,666 | 2,892 |
| 0.05 | 110 | 3,002 |
| 0.04 | 5 | 3,007 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | 453 | 453 |
| 0.55 | 260 | 713 |
| 0.56 | 20 | 733 |
| 0.59 | 29 | 763 |
| 0.61 | 41 | 804 |
| 0.71 | 292 | 1,096 |
| 0.76 | 28 | 1,124 |
| 0.77 | 50 | 1,174 |
| 0.85 | 53 | 1,226 |
| 0.94 | 1,666 | 2,892 |
| 0.95 | 110 | 3,002 |
| 0.96 | 5 | 3,007 |
Spread0.02Mid0.53
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.52 | 559 | 559 |
| 0.51 | 538 | 1,097 |
| 0.50 | 148 | 1,245 |
| 0.44 | 218 | 1,463 |
| 0.21 | 14 | 1,477 |
| 0.20 | 66 | 1,543 |
| 0.14 | 36 | 1,579 |
| 0.05 | 50 | 1,629 |
| 0.04 | 8 | 1,638 |
| 0.03 | 3,333 | 4,971 |
| 0.02 | 162 | 5,133 |
| 0.01 | 392 | 5,525 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Stonktrader | Yes | 3,059.91 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 555.74 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 361.94 |
| jan-delarus | Yes | 235.29 |
| K80PRO | Yes | 210 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 166.96 |
| HDGB | Yes | 90.65 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 74 |
| rocky42018 | Yes | 61.38 |
| financegaaaydog | Yes | 50.83 |
| rplc-ftbl | Yes | 35.2 |
| 0x4dc0…b5b8 | Yes | 23.81 |
| clb-q | Yes | 21.31 |
| 0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788 | Yes | 15 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 13.92 |
| ddaasdf | Yes | 9.25 |
| 0x11ea…1676 | Yes | 4.69 |
| doudouc | Yes | 2.79 |
| k7X9mP2qW4 | Yes | 2 |
| Hochul325 | Yes | 1.02 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:51:58 | SELL | No | 0.53 | 21 | $11.13 |
| 11:30:40 | BUY | No | 0.54 | 88 | $47.52 |
| 07:13:43 | SELL | No | 0.53 | 1 | $0.27 |
| 06:22:58 | BUY | Yes | 0.4699999341 | 3 | $1.57 |
| 03:46:48 | BUY | Yes | 0.4699999988 | 106 | $50.00 |
| 23:54:13 | SELL | Yes | 0.42 | 15 | $6.30 |
| 23:53:24 | SELL | Yes | 0.42 | 5 | $2.10 |
| 23:53:13 | BUY | Yes | 0.46 | 20 | $9.20 |
| 23:53:12 | BUY | No | 0.54 | 70 | $37.80 |
| 17:56:51 | BUY | No | 0.539999986 | 19 | $10.00 |
| 11:02:16 | BUY | No | 0.559999996 | 20 | $11.19 |
| 11:02:04 | BUY | Yes | 0.46 | 20 | $9.20 |
| 11:02:04 | SELL | Yes | 0.44 | 20 | $8.80 |
| 10:02:06 | SELL | No | 0.52 | 2 | $1.27 |
| 10:02:04 | BUY | No | 0.5 | 100 | $50.00 |
| 10:02:04 | BUY | No | 0.5075598056 | 102 | $52.00 |
| 10:02:04 | BUY | No | 0.51 | 20 | $10.20 |
| 10:02:04 | BUY | No | 0.51 | 2 | $1.09 |
| 17:03:18 | BUY | No | 0.56 | 13 | $7.23 |
| 17:02:57 | SELL | No | 0.56 | 47 | $26.58 |
| 16:23:34 | BUY | No | 0.55 | 3 | $1.38 |
| 16:23:34 | BUY | No | 0.5499999895 | 47 | $26.12 |
| 13:54:06 | BUY | No | 0.55 | 50 | $27.50 |
| 12:51:13 | BUY | Yes | 0.43 | 29 | $12.30 |
| 12:40:09 | SELL | No | 0.53 | 37 | $19.77 |