PolyBot

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.204. up 0.041 over the period, from 0.164. Range 0.060 to 0.204. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.27766
0.2802329
0.3402756
0.3601672
0.9811991
0.98264155
0.98313168
0.9908176
0.9967183
0.99720203
0.99830233
0.99963296

Spread0.147Mid0.204

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1309898
0.08340138
0.08240178
0.06130208
0.06040248
0.0117255
0.0108263
0.00715279
0.00618297
0.001219516

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8709898
0.91740138
0.91840178
0.93930208
0.94040248
0.9897255
0.9908263
0.99315279
0.99418297
0.999219516

Spread0.147Mid0.796

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.72366
0.7202329
0.6602756
0.6401672
0.0191991
0.01864155
0.01713168
0.0108176
0.0047183
0.00320203
0.00230233
0.00163296

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HaradwaithYes79.99
pppnnYes50
naniotoYes27
shoobadooba18Yes23
AJSVYes20
tradetosurvive1Yes17.25
a5533Yes1.7
POB1No50
luisotavio0312No50
Dr.PNLNo39.99
2B9SNo30.61
PPMTNo30
lissartterNo14.39
GuyFromTinderNo3.24

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:44:10SELLYes0.14150$7.05
21:33:54SELLNo0.89450$44.70
21:32:42SELLNo0.9061600064250$226.53
13:07:58SELLYes0.084402522575$6.29
12:49:49BUYYes0.097597477575$7.27
06:16:10SELLYes0.1319$1.18
19:16:37SELLNo0.9138250$45.69
19:16:33BUYYes0.07550$3.75
12:43:16SELLYes0.13221$2.77
12:07:21SELLYes0.099520$1.99
10:37:18SELLYes0.05810$0.58
09:14:01SELLYes0.1120$2.20
03:27:31SELLYes0.0372$0.06
19:49:34BUYYes0.130$3.00
19:13:16BUYYes0.0540$2.00
18:04:48SELLYes0.3427$9.18
18:04:46BUYNo0.646399856250$161.59
16:56:37SELLNo0.631$0.43
16:33:12SELLNo0.631$0.38
16:33:10SELLNo0.631$0.43
02:49:55SELLNo0.633$2.13
11:56:42SELLNo0.63112$70.40
11:56:42BUYYes0.369999976823$8.60
10:38:24BUYNo0.6421$13.20
10:38:22SELLYes0.3620$7.20