Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.20% before 2027?
- Tick
- 0.001
- Min order
- 5
- Fees
- 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
- Ends
- 2026-12-31
- Resolves by
- https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026
- Rewards
- 50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread
Price history
Order book
Not connected
Yes
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.081 | 100 | 100 |
| 0.082 | 200 | 300 |
| 0.083 | 100 | 400 |
| 0.085 | 1,013 | 1,413 |
| 0.086 | 973 | 2,386 |
| 0.088 | 489 | 2,874 |
| 0.089 | 300 | 3,174 |
| 0.091 | 880 | 4,054 |
| 0.093 | 88 | 4,142 |
| 0.098 | 217 | 4,359 |
| 0.101 | 440 | 4,799 |
| 0.110 | 50 | 4,849 |
Spread0.007Mid0.077
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.074 | 75 | 75 |
| 0.073 | 250 | 325 |
| 0.072 | 50 | 375 |
| 0.070 | 852 | 1,227 |
| 0.069 | 973 | 2,200 |
| 0.067 | 370 | 2,570 |
| 0.066 | 363 | 2,932 |
| 0.064 | 440 | 3,372 |
| 0.063 | 252 | 3,625 |
| 0.062 | 88 | 3,713 |
| 0.057 | 217 | 3,930 |
| 0.055 | 85 | 4,015 |
No
Live
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.926 | 75 | 75 |
| 0.927 | 250 | 325 |
| 0.928 | 50 | 375 |
| 0.930 | 852 | 1,227 |
| 0.931 | 973 | 2,200 |
| 0.933 | 370 | 2,570 |
| 0.934 | 363 | 2,932 |
| 0.936 | 440 | 3,372 |
| 0.937 | 252 | 3,625 |
| 0.938 | 88 | 3,713 |
| 0.943 | 217 | 3,930 |
| 0.945 | 85 | 4,015 |
Spread0.007Mid0.923
| Price | Size | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.919 | 100 | 100 |
| 0.918 | 200 | 300 |
| 0.917 | 100 | 400 |
| 0.915 | 1,013 | 1,413 |
| 0.914 | 973 | 2,386 |
| 0.912 | 489 | 2,874 |
| 0.911 | 300 | 3,174 |
| 0.909 | 880 | 4,054 |
| 0.907 | 88 | 4,142 |
| 0.902 | 217 | 4,359 |
| 0.899 | 440 | 4,799 |
| 0.890 | 50 | 4,849 |
Top holders
| Holder | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 1,111 |
| GotGreenWood | Yes | 769.7 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 564.8 |
| HDGB | Yes | 225.9 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 179.88 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 153.53 |
| SuperTests | Yes | 135.18 |
| pppnn | Yes | 100 |
| richyee | Yes | 100 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 98 |
| lissartter | Yes | 56.4 |
| johncashi | Yes | 50 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 42 |
| mavsgseguritas | Yes | 29.51 |
| nanioto | Yes | 27 |
| shoobadooba18 | Yes | 23 |
| 29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da. | Yes | 20 |
| 0x11ea…1676 | Yes | 11 |
| ddd1d43 | Yes | 10 |
| asdf112d | Yes | 10 |
Recent trades
| Time | Side | Outcome | Price | Size | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:49:52 | SELL | No | 0.922 | 20 | $18.60 |
| 22:49:52 | SELL | No | 0.9220798446 | 751 | $692.91 |
| 07:37:18 | SELL | No | 0.922 | 74 | $68.23 |
| 07:30:15 | BUY | Yes | 0.0677474747 | 99 | $6.71 |
| 00:07:04 | SELL | No | 0.936 | 5 | $4.68 |
| 00:06:12 | BUY | No | 0.9409999053 | 5 | $4.71 |
| 20:23:04 | SELL | Yes | 0.073 | 80 | $5.84 |
| 15:10:33 | SELL | No | 0.94665 | 54 | $51.12 |
| 14:15:51 | SELL | No | 0.949 | 0 | $0.09 |
| 14:15:50 | BUY | No | 0.9489999972 | 8 | $7.92 |
| 14:15:50 | BUY | No | 0.939 | 40 | $37.56 |
| 14:15:50 | SELL | Yes | 0.0690588537 | 78 | $5.39 |
| 14:15:48 | BUY | No | 0.9259999622 | 20 | $18.68 |
| 14:15:48 | BUY | No | 0.926 | 50 | $46.30 |
| 14:15:48 | BUY | No | 0.916206165 | 601 | $551.06 |
| 14:15:48 | BUY | No | 0.922 | 78 | $71.91 |
| 00:31:56 | BUY | No | 0.9159999979 | 96 | $87.93 |
| 00:31:56 | BUY | No | 0.915 | 188 | $172.02 |
| 00:43:45 | SELL | No | 0.893 | 3 | $2.68 |
| 00:33:44 | SELL | No | 0.908 | 8 | $7.26 |
| 00:23:41 | SELL | No | 0.90864875 | 8 | $7.27 |
| 00:03:45 | SELL | No | 0.909 | 65 | $59.09 |
| 21:36:47 | BUY | No | 0.9006666667 | 150 | $135.10 |
| 16:23:54 | SELL | No | 0.89 | 84 | $74.48 |
| 16:15:36 | SELL | No | 0.889 | 0 | $0.02 |