PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.43. Range 0.27 to 0.69. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.43144144
0.44133277
0.4738315
0.5053368
0.9712380
0.9818398
0.9916414

Spread0.04Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.39232232
0.38190422
0.3726448
0.266454
0.1520474
0.1147521
0.0948569
0.0638607
0.049616
0.0344660
0.0117677

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.61232232
0.62190422
0.6326448
0.746454
0.8520474
0.8947521
0.9148569
0.9438607
0.969616
0.9744660
0.9917677

Spread0.04Mid0.59

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.57144144
0.56133277
0.5338315
0.5053368
0.0312380
0.0218398
0.0116414

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GuyFromTinderYes89.95
SuSuDORISYes82.99
pootytherewardfarmerYes39
spacexstarYes11
0x78c0…b3caYes6.56
AJSVYes3.78
tradetosurvive1Yes1.96
title1No80
SuperTestsNo64.08
Hochul325No26
frontiertradeNo22.7
pppnnNo20
trader-adb51585No7.13
n00beeNo6.56
plytest2No5.09
youtube-traderNo3.68

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:36:15BUYNo0.617$4.00
20:23:07BUYYes0.3940$15.60
14:57:46BUYYes0.3320$6.60
14:57:46BUYYes0.3266$21.12
12:20:49SELLNo0.53110$5.31
12:20:36SELLNo0.545$2.70
12:20:28SELLNo0.5415$8.10
12:20:01SELLNo0.555$2.75
11:36:12SELLNo0.5523$12.65
11:36:06SELLNo0.5520$11.00
11:29:30BUYNo0.5680$44.80
08:52:28SELLYes0.4310$4.30
08:51:27SELLNo0.5610$5.60
08:50:16BUYNo0.5656428571140$79.19
08:17:03BUYNo0.5230$15.59
07:59:31BUYNo0.4723$10.81
07:23:46SELLYes0.2120$4.20
13:57:31BUYNo0.4520$9.00
10:52:34SELLNo0.0410$0.40
08:16:28SELLNo0.625$3.10
08:16:21BUYYes0.596$3.49
06:21:45BUYNo0.510$5.00
06:21:45BUYNo0.520$10.00
06:20:40BUYNo0.4820$9.60
01:00:37BUYYes0.3610$3.57