trader-adb51585
0xadb51585c4d71616524a051841a8ad4778584d50
- Realised P&L
- $-385.32
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $66.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$144.26at 0.247Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$66.55at 0.471Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
- +$53.84at 0.455Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$45.34at 0.505Will Hyperliquid dip to $52 in July?
- +$44.69at 0.560Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 10:28 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.00% before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.59 |
| 09-11 12:47 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | SELL | 0.272 | $10.87 |
| 09-11 07:55 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027? | BUY | 0.3 | $7.20 |
| 09-10 19:48 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September? | SELL | 0.78 | $19.90 |
| 09-07 23:56 | Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on September 8? | SELL | 0.3351020408 | $3.28 |
| 09-07 07:35 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 98.00 in September? | SELL | 0.26 | $3.58 |
| 09-07 07:20 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (LOW) 97.50 in September? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.79 |
| 09-05 09:44 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in September? | BUY | 0.27 | $40.50 |
| 09-02 11:57 | Will Chainlink dip to $10 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.81 |
| 09-02 11:48 | Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.79 |
| 09-02 10:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 2? | SELL | 0.35 | $7.00 |
| 09-02 08:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 2? | BUY | 0.2 | $40.00 |
| 09-02 06:48 | Will AVAX reach $12 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.31 |
| 09-02 06:47 | Will AVAX reach $13 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.68 |
| 09-02 05:22 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in September? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.10 |