PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.39% in September?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.47. down 0.30 over the period, from 0.77. Range 0.45 to 0.91. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.48288288
0.49465753
0.5050803
0.6024827
0.7050877
0.7120897
0.7373970
0.741501,120
0.752001,320
0.84201,340
0.9691,349
0.97661,415

Spread0.03Mid0.46

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.45757757
0.446121,370
0.43501,420
0.42121,431
0.05201,451
0.0491,460
0.02311,491
0.01171,508

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.55757757
0.566121,370
0.57501,420
0.58121,431
0.95201,451
0.9691,460
0.98311,491
0.99171,508

Spread0.03Mid0.54

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.52288288
0.51465753
0.5050803
0.4024827
0.3050877
0.2920897
0.2773970
0.261501,120
0.252001,320
0.16201,340
0.0491,349
0.03661,415

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Dr.PNLYes375.22
OskoreiterYes243
tradetosurvive1Yes240.43
pootytherewardfarmerYes139.34
2B9SYes90
FihdrzgddYes85.41
pullthetriggerYes80
AJSVYes67.91
KingsppYes50
0x78c0…b3caYes50
imoraYes48.92
MaybeyesmaybenotYes24
JorgeBraslaYes5
XAE12ArchangelYes5
Vagabund97No414.25
Started-with-20-USDNo375.33
dips.No175.43
whispercatalystNo110
pppnnNo97
todonnellNo73.66

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:50:58SELLNo0.5320$10.60
19:48:19SELLNo0.531$0.72
19:47:39BUYNo0.5539100$55.39
19:47:37BUYNo0.5610$5.60
19:38:52SELLNo0.5110$5.10
19:38:51BUYNo0.5493$50.22
19:38:51SELLYes0.4610$4.60
18:50:39SELLNo0.5445649249372$202.39
16:47:52SELLYes0.467$3.22
16:47:46SELLYes0.4610$4.60
16:47:21SELLYes0.4713$6.11
16:47:19BUYNo0.53100$53.00
16:30:16BUYNo0.535$2.70
16:29:12SELLNo0.52$0.83
16:06:24BUYNo0.4610$4.56
16:06:22BUYNo0.465$2.34
16:05:54BUYNo0.430$0.19
16:03:36BUYNo0.4313$5.59
16:01:21SELLYes0.5940$23.60
16:01:21BUYNo0.424789243949$21.00
16:01:19BUYNo0.41100$41.00
15:09:28BUYYes0.62100$62.00
14:53:43SELLYes0.569384615465$37.01
14:53:40BUYYes0.607692307765$39.50
14:53:40BUYYes0.6100$60.00