PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.18. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.08 to 0.42. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.212020
0.242040
0.73747
0.7480127
0.95156283
0.96500783
0.978331,616
0.981,2502,866
0.992,8185,685

Spread0.05Mid0.18

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.16100100
0.15200300
0.065305
0.05183488
0.04307795
0.034171,212
0.026251,837
0.011,4463,283

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.84100100
0.85200300
0.945305
0.95183488
0.96307795
0.974171,212
0.986251,837
0.991,4463,283

Spread0.05Mid0.81

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.792020
0.762040
0.27747
0.2680127
0.05156283
0.04500783
0.038331,616
0.021,2502,866
0.012,8185,685

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Vagabund97Yes722
GuyFromTinderYes70
FihdrzgddYes60
financegaaaydogYes31.25
youtube-traderYes20
tradetosurvive1Yes20
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291Yes20
micaudnYes5
AJSVYes5
prizrYes3.99
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo700
cigarettesNo213.79
johnashboughNo29
JorgeBraslaNo5
chaosj89No5
UpTheStairsNo3.95
0xf528…7e5bNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:32:41BUYNo0.845$4.20
00:01:33BUYYes0.185$0.90
18:27:10BUYNo0.835$4.15
14:35:19BUYYes0.2920$5.80
09:12:34SELLNo0.8620$17.20
08:25:07BUYYes0.1227700831722$88.64
06:37:29SELLNo0.8820$17.60
14:56:53SELLYes0.1631$5.00
14:56:25SELLYes0.1729$4.89
14:56:22BUYNo0.8320$16.60
14:56:20SELLYes0.1720$3.40
14:56:19BUYNo0.82999990331$1.03
14:56:19BUYNo0.8320$16.60
14:56:19BUYNo0.83101$83.99
07:08:00BUYNo0.7710$7.70
16:27:22SELLNo0.803548387131$24.91
15:44:16BUYNo0.75103$76.95
15:44:16BUYNo0.7560$45.00
15:44:14BUYNo0.7520$15.00
11:05:55SELLNo0.7619$14.40
11:05:22SELLNo0.781$0.82
06:23:50SELLNo0.794$3.12
04:56:10BUYNo0.874$3.47
04:37:34BUYNo0.769999999519$14.62
04:37:32BUYNo0.775$3.85