PolyBot

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.021. up 0.017 over the period, from 0.004. Range 0.004 to 0.255. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03599
0.036100109
0.03850159
0.98220179
0.98375254
0.9908262
0.9987270
0.99936306

Spread0.028Mid0.021

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.007150150
0.00630180
0.00444224
0.003185409
0.002130539
0.001231770

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.993150150
0.99430180
0.99644224
0.997185409
0.998130539
0.999231770

Spread0.028Mid0.979

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96599
0.964100109
0.96250159
0.01820179
0.01775254
0.0108262
0.0027270
0.00136306

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes108.58
Dr.PNLYes101
galhammermanYes60.84
frontiertradeYes50
AJSVYes35
lifeisahighwayYes20
j0hanzYes20
cool.keithYes9.28
bjproloYes8
Started-with-20-USDYes5
MrYanDaoNo202
Adventure142No135.72
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No54.86
sanlitou2026p1No20.07
tradetosurvive1No2.97
asdasasdsaasdNo1.03
0xbada…d874No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:03:27BUYNo0.996596372320$20.00
15:06:27SELLNo0.981456964437$36.15
10:17:42SELLNo0.95111$10.34
02:31:15BUYYes0.023174907461$1.41
01:10:27SELLNo0.9485$4.74
01:10:24SELLNo0.9595$4.79
00:30:39BUYNo0.96650$48.49
23:51:04SELLYes0.02120$0.42
23:50:42BUYNo0.92320$18.46
23:46:36BUYNo0.8920$17.80
18:45:52SELLNo0.7415$3.71
18:45:25SELLNo0.7415$3.71
18:40:58SELLNo0.7415$3.71
14:02:28BUYNo0.8120$16.20
10:43:04BUYNo0.65$3.00
12:00:46SELLNo0.5550$0.25
07:51:22SELLNo0.99433$33.12
10:26:22SELLNo0.99517$16.58
09:12:58SELLYes0.0037079661118$0.44
12:07:22BUYYes0.05118$5.90
06:32:31BUYNo0.971$1.00
00:08:39BUYNo0.9646$44.16
00:08:22BUYNo0.96546$44.39
17:45:42BUYNo0.9641$39.83
08:53:55SELLYes0.0428$1.12