j0hanz
0xaa5c906cdce664fcd1f5abd665a65a42a3ef6856
- Realised P&L
- $-113.97
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $139.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.380Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of September 2026?
- +$1.58at 0.941Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-2.5)
- +$1.40at 0.880France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by September 30, 2026?
- +$1.26at 0.924LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- +$1.00at 0.630Will Christopher Haworth reach the Semifinals of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:32 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18? | SELL | 0.25 | $1.76 |
| 09-16 12:30 | Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 09-16 12:28 | Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | SELL | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-16 11:55 | Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.34 |
| 09-16 09:18 | Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 09:18 | Will Christopher Haworth advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? | SELL | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 09-16 04:44 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000? | SELL | 0.663 | $8.73 |
| 09-16 02:31 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000? | SELL | 0.62 | $11.58 |
| 09-15 21:56 | Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.50 |
| 09-15 18:10 | Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-15 10:31 | SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31? | SELL | 0.62 | $11.94 |
| 09-15 09:48 | Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $3.90 |
| 09-15 09:35 | LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs | BUY | 0.92 | $15.18 |
| 09-15 08:31 | Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.20 |
| 09-15 08:31 | Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.53 | $10.60 |