PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

j0hanz

0xaa5c906cdce664fcd1f5abd665a65a42a3ef6856

Realised P&L
$-113.97
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$139.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JW Johnson qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.7200.735$14.70+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? · No0.6600.640$12.80$0.40
Will Federico Staksrud advance to the Semifinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · Yes0.6200.615$12.30$0.10
Will Connor Garnett / Roscoe Bellamy advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.7400.515$10.30$4.50
Will Noe Khlif advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · Yes0.5800.250$10.00$13.20
Will Adam Harvey advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.7200.450$9.00$5.40
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 18? · No0.6000.455$8.19$2.61
Will "SpaceX" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of September 21? · Yes0.4600.260$7.80$6.00
Will Victoria DiMuzio advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.7300.375$7.50$7.10
Will Meghan Dizon qualify for the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · Yes0.4300.350$7.00$1.60
Will John Lucian Goins / Meghan Dizon advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · Yes0.3100.335$6.70+$0.50
Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes0.3700.305$6.10$1.30
Will Mari Humberg advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open? · No0.7400.270$5.40$9.40
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? · Yes0.2700.231$4.61$0.79
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs. Chunichi Dragons · Tokyo Yakult Swallows0.9400.750$3.99$1.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 12:32Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 18?SELL0.25$1.76
09-16 12:30Will Kelly Goodnow advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.14$2.80
09-16 12:28Will Leila do Vôlei win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election?SELL0.61$12.20
09-16 11:55Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?SELL0.17$3.34
09-16 09:18Will John Lucian Goins advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.5$10.00
09-16 09:18Will Christopher Haworth advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?SELL0.8$16.00
09-16 04:44Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,500,000 and 4,650,000?SELL0.663$8.73
09-16 02:31Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Rhode Island be between 350,000 and 400,000?SELL0.62$11.58
09-15 21:56Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?SELL0.46$4.50
09-15 18:10Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by October 15?SELL0.48$4.80
09-15 10:31SpaceXAI announces a training pause by October 31?SELL0.62$11.94
09-15 09:48Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.3$3.90
09-15 09:35LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League PlayoffsBUY0.92$15.18
09-15 08:31Sam Altman signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30?SELL0.21$4.20
09-15 08:31Will over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.53$10.60