PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.12% in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.42. down 0.35 over the period, from 0.77. Range 0.24 to 0.82. 161 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.464040
0.591656
0.742581
0.95586
0.96995
0.9720115
0.9965180

Spread0.07Mid0.43

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.3955
0.384045
0.26120165
0.1221186
0.0624210
0.0540250
0.0220269
0.0160329

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.6155
0.624045
0.74120165
0.8821186
0.9424210
0.9540250
0.9820269
0.9960329

Spread0.07Mid0.57

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.544040
0.411656
0.262581
0.05586
0.04995
0.0320115
0.0165180

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes210.58
johnashboughYes106.64
POB1Yes40.82
timeistmoneyYes33
SuperTestsYes30
tacorYes21
MrYanDaoYes13
grinder1011Yes5.27
financegaaaydogYes3.2
cigarettesNo111.78
thursdaysNo101
WhywixNo87.56
bonalddrunkNo71
just-bettorNo41.99
GuyFromTinderNo40
peachgomaNo10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:37:09BUYNo0.549$4.86
05:36:12BUYYes0.3923$8.81
14:40:33BUYNo0.5720$11.40
05:52:16BUYYes0.460$24.00
17:33:44BUYYes0.3819840$15.28
17:33:44SELLNo0.6492$58.87
19:31:45BUYYes0.2814$3.92
19:26:38BUYNo0.7833$25.74
12:16:45SELLNo0.550$0.13
12:09:39BUYNo0.536770399888$47.00
12:09:27SELLYes0.4819$9.11
09:18:34SELLNo0.582$1.16
06:50:31SELLYes0.41$0.40
06:49:33SELLYes0.46$2.40
06:45:00BUYYes0.4113$5.33
06:45:00BUYYes0.47$2.80
06:45:00BUYYes0.419$7.59
06:45:00BUYYes0.413$5.20
06:44:58BUYYes0.40853783887$2.85
05:55:22SELLNo0.620$12.00
04:12:43SELLNo0.581923076926$15.13
01:42:04SELLNo0.585$2.90
23:52:37SELLNo0.7221$15.12
23:46:46BUYYes0.276$1.62
23:37:32BUYYes0.41100$41.00