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Traders

Ethan-Pier

0x8fd0e409b8a0492433b7fe871e873b0b6f7d3c39

Realised P&L
$-105.70
Volume
$6.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$45.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? · Yes0.3910.420$20.82+$1.44
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027? · Yes0.1900.180$10.07$0.56
Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026? · Yes0.4950.425$8.86$1.46
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027? · Yes0.3200.310$6.20$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 09:40Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in the United States by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$1.72
09-24 09:40Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.08$12.01
09-24 09:40Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?BUY0.32$2.69
09-24 09:40Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.21$21.28
09-24 09:39Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.6% before 2027?BUY0.32$3.71
09-24 09:39Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.09$4.50
09-24 09:39Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?SELL0.07$1.40
09-24 09:08Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026?BUY0.48$2.40
09-24 08:24Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by October 15, 2026?BUY0.5$7.92
09-24 08:24Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.329$11.27
09-24 07:26Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3769999849$2.00
09-24 07:25Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.3289999659$2.93
09-24 07:25Will The Black Ball win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.308087477$3.41
09-24 05:08Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.30% before 2027?BUY0.19$1.14
09-24 00:40Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.80