PolyBot

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.51% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.020. down 0.011 over the period, from 0.031. Range 0.017 to 0.031. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0365858
0.037131188
0.039100288
0.041100388
0.043100488
0.045500988
0.050501,038
0.140301,068
0.740401,108
0.97491,117
0.97591,126
0.98971,133

Spread0.032Mid0.020

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0045353
0.003150203
0.0025208
0.001208416

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9965353
0.997150203
0.9985208
0.999208416

Spread0.032Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9645858
0.963131188
0.961100288
0.959100388
0.957100488
0.955500988
0.950501,038
0.860301,068
0.260401,108
0.02691,117
0.02591,126
0.01171,133

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LornaPredictsYes299.01
intelligence98Yes157.23
tradetosurvive1Yes33.79
pppnnYes30.53
frontiertradeYes30
AJSVYes26.24
Dr.PNLYes12
bjproloYes8
FihdrzgddYes3.59
GuyFromTinderYes3
44444444benYes1.96
OrbitSugarFreeNo248
MrYanDaoNo179.01
AlAhmedaNo95
0x0E0CCAC09d376C89965cfc57fB468312224Da963-1762089905862No50
anthonytruNo10.53
0xbada…d874No8.79
ScottsRoadNo5.5
cookedquailNo4.94
easyautomateNo3.58

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
06:11:33BUYNo0.9909677419248$245.76
15:06:22SELLNo0.98750$49.35
13:37:15BUYNo0.98690$88.74
11:55:04SELLYes0.0132$0.03
17:11:19BUYNo0.945999999539$36.90
17:11:03BUYNo0.94450$47.20
15:46:39BUYNo0.9511$10.00
01:54:12BUYNo0.9650$48.00
13:20:00SELLNo0.925$4.60
16:16:42BUYNo0.9616$15.36
16:16:39BUYNo0.9136$32.76
16:16:24BUYNo0.936$32.40
15:32:55SELLYes0.0630$1.79
15:30:18BUYNo0.845$4.15
15:30:18SELLNo0.882$1.94
15:26:22BUYNo0.8430$25.00
15:25:16SELLYes0.165$0.85
15:25:12BUYNo0.83999997735$4.45
15:25:12BUYNo0.845$4.20
15:23:03BUYNo0.8433$27.72
15:22:58SELLYes0.1619$3.04
15:22:55BUYNo0.83999998884$3.01
15:22:54SELLYes0.1641$6.56
15:22:51BUYNo0.8431$26.04
15:22:51BUYNo0.8461$51.24