Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.034. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.033. Range 0.026 to 0.034. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	471	471
0.036	565	1,036
0.037	5,234	6,270
0.038	8,063	14,333
0.039	50	14,383
0.040	350	14,733
0.042	200	14,933
0.045	669	15,602
0.048	555	16,157
0.050	200	16,357
0.054	148	16,505
0.055	862	17,366

Spread0.003Mid0.034

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	60	60
0.031	100	160
0.030	727	887
0.029	560	1,447
0.028	1,094	2,541
0.024	225	2,766
0.023	510	3,276
0.022	760	4,036
0.021	2,222	6,258
0.020	200	6,458
0.014	555	7,013
0.013	2,550	9,563

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	60	60
0.969	100	160
0.970	727	887
0.971	560	1,447
0.972	1,094	2,541
0.976	225	2,766
0.977	510	3,276
0.978	760	4,036
0.979	2,222	6,258
0.980	200	6,458
0.986	555	7,013
0.987	2,550	9,563

Spread0.003Mid0.966

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	471	471
0.964	565	1,036
0.963	5,234	6,270
0.962	8,063	14,333
0.961	50	14,383
0.960	350	14,733
0.958	200	14,933
0.955	669	15,602
0.952	555	16,157
0.950	200	16,357
0.946	148	16,505
0.945	862	17,366

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
AiBird	Yes	4,934.08
0x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-1782276826909	Yes	3,024.96
0xD2cba0c6464F96d2567eCC81D5F708d9670e7729-1776513816323	Yes	2,110.1
suntori	Yes	1,822.97
Lagodna	Yes	1,049.99
Oklmntrader	Yes	826.04
planktonXD	Yes	421.07
Liquidifier	Yes	364.5
lolitayu	Yes	353.67
8989898JUJUJ898	Yes	319.86
MaoZeDonK	Yes	289.47
0x1649aA5459f87cA97f58D1991E655f7cb6193424-1768206558502	Yes	274.79
WarpG	Yes	178.57
xlefgerx	Yes	167.53
moxiaochen	Yes	149.97
smoothie0	Yes	131.58
xvc347y	Yes	125
0x2ED28459C6eB39E80dAA120B9328DD97E5e89D82-1772745518781	Yes	117.85
0x39d0af79e8768C375d18D4b199F08599eA33B6E2-1769946316362	Yes	101.17
Caliboy1718	Yes	100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
20:02:33	BUY	Yes	0.035	30	$1.05
13:36:30	SELL	Yes	0.029	50	$1.45
02:06:27	SELL	Yes	0.028	50	$1.40
02:05:53	BUY	Yes	0.028	270	$7.56
11:34:20	SELL	Yes	0.024	136	$3.27
00:36:08	BUY	Yes	0.0279999733	36	$1.00
22:49:51	BUY	No	0.976	10	$10.00
19:27:11	BUY	Yes	0.0279999882	81	$2.26
19:26:30	BUY	Yes	0.027999986	68	$1.90
06:01:11	SELL	Yes	0.024	28	$0.68
03:49:17	BUY	Yes	0.0279999946	179	$5.00
02:57:05	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:56:06	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:52:26	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:51:12	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:48:29	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:47:30	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:45:27	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:44:48	SELL	Yes	0.025	50	$1.25
02:41:38	SELL	Yes	0.026	50	$1.30
02:37:38	SELL	Yes	0.026	50	$1.30
02:36:53	SELL	Yes	0.026	50	$1.30
02:34:54	SELL	Yes	0.026	50	$1.30
02:33:36	SELL	Yes	0.026	50	$1.30
02:29:35	SELL	Yes	0.026	50	$1.30