Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.03 · 100 @ 0.50 = $0.75 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.019. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.017. Range 0.016 to 0.020. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.024	271	271
0.025	25,957	26,229
0.026	72	26,301
0.027	200	26,501
0.028	100	26,601
0.031	206	26,807
0.032	200	27,007
0.034	1,649	28,656
0.035	51	28,707
0.038	30	28,737
0.040	76	28,813
0.044	3,709	32,522

Spread0.009Mid0.019

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	122	122
0.013	797	919
0.012	850	1,769
0.011	1,123	2,892
0.010	11,300	14,193
0.009	198	14,391
0.008	553	14,944
0.007	13,254	28,197
0.006	2,704	30,901
0.005	3,670	34,571
0.004	2,794	37,365
0.003	2,333	39,698

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	122	122
0.987	797	919
0.988	850	1,769
0.989	1,123	2,892
0.990	11,300	14,193
0.991	198	14,391
0.992	553	14,944
0.993	13,254	28,197
0.994	2,704	30,901
0.995	3,670	34,571
0.996	2,794	37,365
0.997	2,333	39,698

Spread0.009Mid0.980

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.976	271	271
0.975	25,957	26,229
0.974	72	26,301
0.973	200	26,501
0.972	100	26,601
0.969	206	26,807
0.968	200	27,007
0.966	1,649	28,656
0.965	51	28,707
0.962	30	28,737
0.960	76	28,813
0.956	3,709	32,522

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x5f62746Ad55527ad75b4795bec7cd45F557eD989-1782276826909	Yes	4,037.78
AiBird	Yes	3,435.36
0xD2cba0c6464F96d2567eCC81D5F708d9670e7729-1776513816323	Yes	2,110.1
suntori	Yes	1,485.56
AIluka	Yes	1,005
0x2E680377658456CC5dD05C8a4E0a146013f458f2-1768513818152	Yes	617.53
0xFd885CD08cDb03bf7895FADF1499Fd649DB626E2-1746615476134	Yes	370.68
Liquidifier	Yes	364.5
lolitayu	Yes	353.67
0xbc81…a635	Yes	333.33
8989898JUJUJ898	Yes	319.86
MaoZeDonK	Yes	289.47
PaddyAlpha	Yes	285.92
0x1649aA5459f87cA97f58D1991E655f7cb6193424-1768206558502	Yes	274.79
TengYangTianXia	Yes	249.99
0x6F9F27732019e7f28bb816D98997a7c4dA35fDFc-1769262405411	Yes	185.19
WarpG	Yes	178.57
0x5533…51ba	Yes	175.69
xlefgerx	Yes	167.53
2597	Yes	165

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:58:46	SELL	No	0.976	12	$11.61
04:58:09	BUY	Yes	0.0170012121	165	$2.81
04:58:09	BUY	No	0.986	62	$61.03
15:46:57	BUY	Yes	0.0202987818	71	$1.45
08:16:49	BUY	Yes	0.0194736278	51	$1.00
06:28:24	SELL	Yes	0.014	238	$3.33
06:26:13	BUY	Yes	0.0209999999	238	$5.00
01:05:22	BUY	Yes	0.021	250	$5.25
11:45:04	SELL	No	0.979	29	$28.11
07:47:18	SELL	No	0.979	99	$96.92
07:47:15	SELL	No	0.979	50	$48.95
07:47:12	SELL	No	0.979	100	$97.90
07:47:07	SELL	No	0.979	50	$48.95
07:39:19	SELL	No	0.981	50	$49.05
07:38:09	BUY	Yes	0.0188840787	371	$7.00
05:14:00	BUY	No	0.9859999964	2	$2.18
06:41:04	SELL	No	0.98	2	$1.89
06:48:28	SELL	No	0.98	2	$2.26
09:13:39	SELL	No	0.98	8	$8.07
03:42:25	SELL	No	0.98	5	$5.04
02:07:46	SELL	No	0.98	2	$2.01
23:42:07	SELL	No	0.98	5	$5.01
19:56:24	SELL	Yes	0.014	10	$0.14
10:39:15	BUY	Yes	0.02	100	$2.00
03:35:48	BUY	No	0.9869999994	8	$7.72