PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1330F8dc80fB9cf3f87C73D67d9072171232B4B5-1782254236451

0x1330f8dc80fb9cf3f87c73d67d9072171232b4b5

Realised P&L
$7.0k
Volume
$235.6k
Markets traded
612
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded612
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5250.424$3.5k−$834.57
Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.5120.495$695.47−$24.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4? · No0.6500.635$317.50−$7.50
Will Denmark win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.2600.255$51.00−$1.00
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1500.451$44.83+$29.89
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0150.011$12.04−$4.18
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4? · Yes0.0080.009$7.65+$0.45
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.0030.003$4.96−$0.31
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0350.017$0.54−$0.56
Will T1 Qualify for Worlds 2026? · No0.1140.010$0.05−$0.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No0.5500.000$0.00−$165.00
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage · Kiwoom DRX0.5740.000$0.00−$9.75
Will Nongshim RedForce Win KeSPA Cup 2026? · Yes0.3180.000$0.00−$201.63
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$16.28
Mexico vs. England: Draw at halftime? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$9.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:22Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.015$14.85
10-01 05:22Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.008$7.20
10-01 05:19Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.65$325.00
10-01 05:18Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.52$260.00
10-01 05:14Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.51$2.55
10-01 05:13Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.5$2.50
09-30 08:40Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?SELL0.963$770.40
09-30 08:38Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?SELL0.991$86.24
09-29 15:22LoL: India vs South Korea (BO1) - Asian Games Group BBUY0.99$56.43
09-29 15:21LoL: India vs South Korea (BO1) - Asian Games Group BBUY0.989$42.59
09-29 15:19Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?SELL0.988$98.80
09-28 10:48Will Korea Republic win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.35$14.00
09-25 12:25Spread: Panama (-1.5)BUY0.49$7.25
09-23 14:25Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?SELL0.033$1.63
09-22 05:26Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?SELL0.36$174.56