dtyb
0x4de148ab2ea9ddffdc82f5e5b8f7605d6ba118a2
- Realised P&L
- $-7.32
- Volume
- $1.91M
- Markets traded
- 2,425
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,425
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.017Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on February 21?
- +$928.74at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?
- +$907.46at 0.103Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?
- +$640.76at 0.152Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
- +$594.49at 0.199Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.0271317828 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.125 | $5.00 |
| 09-30 14:03 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 04:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 04:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 04:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 03:31 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0220465844 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0072595281 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0442668109 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.0234082397 | $5.00 |