PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

dtyb

0x4de148ab2ea9ddffdc82f5e5b8f7605d6ba118a2

Realised P&L
$-7.32
Volume
$1.91M
Markets traded
2,425
Open portfolio
$0.07

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,425
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1? · Yes0.0200.001$0.03−$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.1250.001$0.02−$4.98
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1? · Yes0.0270.001$0.02−$0.98
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1? · Yes0.3000.001$0.01−$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 7? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 7? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 7? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 5? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on August 31? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 7? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on September 4? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 7? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 14:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 1?BUY0.02$1.00
09-30 14:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.0271317828$1.00
09-30 14:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.125$5.00
09-30 14:03Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 1?BUY0.299999994$5.00
09-16 04:04Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.001$1.00
09-16 04:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$10.00
09-16 04:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999999$100.00
09-07 03:31Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7?BUY0.0220465844$10.00
09-06 21:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 7?BUY0.2$1.00
09-06 21:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 7?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
09-06 21:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on September 7?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
09-06 21:15Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on September 7?BUY0.0072595281$1.00
09-06 21:08Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 7?BUY0.0442668109$10.00
09-06 21:08Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 7?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
09-06 16:29Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on September 7?BUY0.0234082397$5.00