dtyb
0x4de148ab2ea9ddffdc82f5e5b8f7605d6ba118a2
- Realised P&L
- $902.34
- Volume
- $2.11M
- Markets traded
- 2,364
- Open portfolio
- $51.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,364
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.017Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 29°F or below on February 21?
- +$929.23at 0.007Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C on April 13?
- +$912.21at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?
- +$641.13at 0.151Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 4?
- +$600.65at 0.191Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:06 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.1159999802 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0253643042 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.018817471 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.017479723 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:51 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.209999959 | $4.00 |
| 08-04 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0397587929 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.0729742327 | $25.00 |
| 08-04 01:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.1299999971 | $33.79 |
| 08-04 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.103585786 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 03:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0310370246 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 03:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C or higher on August 3? | BUY | 0.0953217969 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2242990373 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |