PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nigaaaaaaa53

0xb9a3d5dd6bf6b85c9bb76f5364e2b33fffb7a02b

Realised P&L
$-130.67
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · No0.7620.770$757.77+$7.78
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 2? · Yes0.9800.979$144.73−$0.22
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) · Belgium0.9400.940$133.59+$0.00
Will France win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6800.685$19.82+$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2? · Yes0.8600.950$10.97+$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2? · Yes0.9871.000$10.12+$0.13
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 7? · Yes0.9960.993$7.96−$0.03
Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.6000.595$4.91−$0.04
Will Belgium win on 2026-10-02? · Yes0.6300.625$4.86−$0.04
Will England win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.5400.535$4.83−$0.05
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage · M800.1700.175$1.98+$0.06
Lions vs. Panthers · Panthers0.3600.355$1.93−$0.03
BYU vs. TCU · TCU0.3300.325$1.93−$0.03
Patriots vs. Bills · Patriots0.2600.255$1.91−$0.04
Will Real Betis Seville win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.7300.260$1.76−$3.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 16:21Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)BUY0.9399999922$4.81
10-02 16:21Spread: Türkiye (-1.5)BUY0.94$128.78
10-02 16:09Spread: Moldova (-1.5)SELL0.999$133.89
10-02 15:45WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 2?BUY0.98$5.30
10-02 15:45WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on October 2?BUY0.98$139.65
10-02 14:59Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.859999996$4.34
10-02 14:59Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.86$5.59
10-02 14:59Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 2?BUY0.9869999994$9.99
10-02 14:58Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.6809999626$4.92
10-02 13:11Spread: Moldova (-1.5)BUY0.9449999942$5.69
10-02 13:11Spread: Moldova (-1.5)BUY0.945$120.96
10-02 13:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.76$591.47
10-02 13:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.769999983$4.52
10-02 13:04US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7699994995$154.00
10-02 12:59Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 2?BUY0.0989999982$2.82