PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xFd885CD08cDb03bf7895FADF1499Fd649DB626E2-1746615476134

0xfd885cd08cdb03bf7895fadf1499fd649db626e2

Realised P&L
$-314.88
Volume
$13.8k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$64.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7200.935$38.96+$8.96
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.0190.054$20.20+$13.20
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.1740.055$4.46−$9.67
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5100.140$1.09−$2.91
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 15 and 20 million views on day 1? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00−$40.00
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? · No0.0290.000$0.00−$3.00
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2640.000$0.00−$98.05
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.2130.000$0.00−$59.89
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$8.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$87.10
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$12.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$35.00
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025? · No0.0210.000$0.00−$2.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 13:43NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.9920182866$198.01
10-29 13:42Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
09-21 04:02Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.001$1.00
09-18 09:16Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1909999961$5.00
09-18 09:15NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999991$80.00
09-18 09:15Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0269999998$3.00
09-18 09:14Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?BUY0.7979998931$5.00
09-18 09:06Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.0241844466$2.00
09-15 08:17Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2399999965$11.00
09-14 08:26Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?BUY0.2889999927$10.00
09-14 08:22Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.1399999989$5.00
09-14 08:21Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999516$4.00
09-14 08:20Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.032$1.00
09-14 08:20Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2099999983$5.00
09-14 07:44Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.1659999831$1.00