0xFd885CD08cDb03bf7895FADF1499Fd649DB626E2-1746615476134
0xfd885cd08cdb03bf7895fadf1499fd649db626e2
- Realised P&L
- $-314.88
- Volume
- $13.8k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $64.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$184.42at 0.145Will Team Spirit Win The International 2026?
- +$56.92at 0.260LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
- +$39.81at 0.507Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$34.28at 0.520Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?
- +$30.61at 0.500Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 13:43 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9920182866 | $198.01 |
| 10-29 13:42 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-21 04:02 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 09:16 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1909999961 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 09:15 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999991 | $80.00 |
| 09-18 09:15 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 09:14 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? | BUY | 0.7979998931 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 09:06 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0241844466 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 08:17 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2399999965 | $11.00 |
| 09-14 08:26 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.2889999927 | $10.00 |
| 09-14 08:22 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 08:21 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 08:20 | Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 08:20 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-14 07:44 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.1659999831 | $1.00 |