PolyBot

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Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Resolves by
https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-30839e0b-2730-4495-839f-1bf638fa9cca/data
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.22. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.17. Range 0.15 to 0.28. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.252020
0.274666
0.28231297
0.3120317
0.3320337
0.3950387
0.4030417
0.4730447
0.668455
0.83100555
0.8460615
0.8630645

Spread0.07Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.18168168
0.1720188
0.167195
0.1547242
0.1021263
0.0214277
0.0124301

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.82168168
0.8320188
0.847195
0.8547242
0.9021263
0.9814277
0.9924301

Spread0.07Mid0.78

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.752020
0.734666
0.72231297
0.6920317
0.6720337
0.6150387
0.6030417
0.5330447
0.348455
0.17100555
0.1660615
0.1430645

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
jwd103103Yes259.82
LornaPredictsYes42.22
tradetosurvive1Yes40
icaheroYes35
GuyFromTinderYes31.75
pootytherewardfarmerYes21
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes10
HaradwaithYes5.7
0xa5ef…2966No298.86
AJSVNo116.53
cigarettesNo30.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
12:39:19BUYNo0.820$16.00
05:05:59BUYNo0.7720$15.40
17:07:54BUYNo0.820$16.00
17:02:47BUYNo0.7520$15.00
17:02:45BUYNo0.7520$15.00
11:34:29BUYNo0.7720$15.40
17:02:39BUYYes0.1935$6.65
14:11:38BUYNo0.7860$46.80
12:22:45BUYYes0.2125$5.25
23:11:34SELLYes0.1120$2.20
23:11:19BUYNo0.860$48.00
05:00:53BUYNo0.8340$33.20
13:54:48BUYNo0.8340$33.20
13:54:48BUYNo0.8520$17.00
17:29:26BUYYes0.1910$1.90
17:28:23BUYYes0.1816$2.88
17:28:02BUYYes0.1840$7.20
08:28:32SELLYes0.110$0.03
08:28:15BUYYes0.207042246220$4.20
08:28:15BUYYes0.1360$7.80
07:40:26SELLYes0.1120$2.20
07:38:48BUYNo0.8220$16.40
00:48:30BUYYes0.1320$2.60
00:47:32BUYNo0.8320$16.60
00:47:30BUYNo0.8920$17.80