icahero
0xe0b5a0e04d9985ebbb32644b8e3af7c70c63c29e
- Realised P&L
- $52.69
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $224.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.520 | $88.40 | +$33.43 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.4T by October 31? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.875 | $43.75 | +$1.75 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31? · Yes | 0.205 | 0.430 | $42.14 | +$22.06 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026? · No | 0.580 | 0.585 | $29.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.220 | $7.70 | +$1.05 |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.050 | $5.40 | +$0.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.465 | $4.65 | +$3.15 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.223 | 0.115 | $3.45 | −$3.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$155.74at 0.289Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $975B by September 30?
- +$30.10at 0.025Will Manuel Elvira win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?
- +$23.34at 0.057Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of September 2026?
- +$15.60at 0.740Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$7.11at 0.787Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 5% and 7% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:38 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 10-08 18:14 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31? | SELL | 0.8 | $20.00 |
| 10-06 17:58 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 17:02 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $6.65 |
| 10-06 07:01 | Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $29.00 |
| 10-05 04:26 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.17 | $3.40 |
| 10-05 04:25 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.16 | $24.00 |
| 10-04 20:33 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.29 | $23.20 |
| 10-04 10:29 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.37 | $29.60 |
| 10-02 04:36 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31? | BUY | 0.2186206897 | $12.68 |
| 10-02 02:29 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 12:01 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by October 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $54.25 |
| 10-01 11:13 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $9.49 |
| 10-01 11:13 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $950B by October 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $7.41 |
| 09-30 18:07 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.2T by October 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |