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Will Microsoft have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of November 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.004. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.004 to 0.005. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.007180180
0.0085185
0.01046231
0.0125236
0.03015251
0.0509261
0.20475336
0.20517353
0.20620373
0.20842415
0.21350465
0.21416481

Spread0.006Mid0.004

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.001196196

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.999196196

Spread0.006Mid0.996

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.993180180
0.9925185
0.99046231
0.9885236
0.97015251
0.9509261
0.79675336
0.79517353
0.79420373
0.79242415
0.78750465
0.78616481

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes285.09
613b668ef24D3A37417cb5756c5943cae761DA44.Yes147.92
jackli003Yes60.55
lpgbYes32
.MentheYes24.9
Numitus1994Yes21
e46m3Yes20
youtube-traderYes19.9
TENETENETYes10
bjproloYes10
sanduspaceYes10
0xA05C4259e96B0aE00FeAa737214bF8Bf4e8b6f9F-1731150808149Yes6
0x9DAA2fAe4ED179a77CC1C3Bf1356d9CEC6fc9904-1761818367086Yes5.1
triklozoidYes5
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes4
0xa5ef…2966No557.46
cigarettesNo60
kitty07No43.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
21:29:48BUYNo0.99830$29.94
15:44:04BUYNo0.99849$48.83
00:06:34BUYNo0.99810$9.98
21:47:28BUYNo0.99820$19.96
14:16:59BUYNo0.99818$17.96
13:59:36SELLYes0.0024$0.01
13:58:39SELLYes0.0022$0.00
13:58:32BUYNo0.99815$15.14
22:05:14BUYNo0.9995$5.00
22:56:04BUYNo0.99920$19.98
11:41:18BUYNo0.9995$5.00
11:41:18BUYNo0.9995$5.00
11:41:18BUYNo0.99910$9.87
11:36:42BUYNo0.9995$5.00
08:41:41BUYNo0.99820$20.12
08:41:38BUYNo0.9985$5.00
08:41:38BUYNo0.99814$13.51
08:41:12BUYNo0.99815$14.91
08:41:12BUYNo0.9985$4.99
08:41:08BUYNo0.9987$6.99
03:01:59BUYNo0.99810$9.98
18:01:11SELLYes0.0032$0.01
17:49:44BUYNo0.9978$8.08
17:45:35BUYNo0.9962$1.99
17:45:24BUYNo0.9947410$9.95