PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9DAA2fAe4ED179a77CC1C3Bf1356d9CEC6fc9904-1761818367086

0x9daa2fae4ed179a77cc1c3bf1356d9cec6fc9904

Realised P&L
$34.14
Volume
$21.6k
Markets traded
2,571
Open portfolio
$6.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,571
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Grok model (4.7+) be released on September 24, 2026? · Yes0.0020.177$0.88+$0.87
Will Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0020.106$0.41+$0.40
Will David Lavoie win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election? · Yes0.0020.046$0.16+$0.16
Will "You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo" be the top album for 2026? · Yes0.0020.039$0.13+$0.13
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0020.046$0.12+$0.12
Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.0030.023$0.12+$0.10
Will Post Malone be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? · Yes0.0030.022$0.11+$0.10
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.0020.022$0.11+$0.10
Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · No0.0030.021$0.11+$0.09
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina gubernatorial election by 5% or more? · Yes0.0020.021$0.11+$0.10
Will Angela Murray win Big Brother season 28? · Yes0.0020.020$0.10+$0.09
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SC-03 House election by 10%-20%? · Yes0.0020.018$0.09+$0.08
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-01 House seat? · Yes0.0020.016$0.08+$0.07
Will Lindsey Graham be the #1 searched passing on Google in the US this year? · Yes0.0030.015$0.07+$0.06
Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.25 and $1.50 on September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0020.038$0.07+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 12:04Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 17?SELL0.002$0.01
09-17 09:21StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.032$0.16
09-17 00:00Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ?SELL0.001$0.01
09-17 00:00Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ?SELL0.001$0.01
09-16 02:15Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026?SELL0.005$0.03
09-15 20:56Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
09-15 11:54Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 15?SELL0.001$0.01
09-15 11:54Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on September 15?SELL0.001$0.01
09-14 19:54Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.041$0.21
09-14 19:48Will “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?SELL0.001$0.01
09-14 19:48Will “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?SELL0.001$0.01
09-14 19:48Will “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?SELL0.007$0.04
09-14 19:48Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?SELL0.001$0.01
09-14 15:50Will the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Election not take place by September 14, 2026?SELL0.001$0.01
09-14 10:42Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?SELL0.008$0.04