0x9DAA2fAe4ED179a77CC1C3Bf1356d9CEC6fc9904-1761818367086
0x9daa2fae4ed179a77cc1c3bf1356d9cec6fc9904
- Realised P&L
- $34.14
- Volume
- $21.6k
- Markets traded
- 2,571
- Open portfolio
- $6.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,571
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.02at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on August 31?
- +$0.98at 0.002Will Lyon Rugby win?
- +$0.89at 0.002Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 49.0 in August?
- +$0.76at 0.932Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$0.71at 0.002Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 12:04 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 09:21 | StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.032 | $0.16 |
| 09-17 00:00 | Will Andy Burnham say "Scotland" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-17 00:00 | Will Andy Burnham say "Budget" during the next PMQ? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-16 02:15 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 09-15 20:56 | Will Iran target Egypt by September 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 11:54 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C or below on September 15? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 19:54 | Will "Pluribus" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.041 | $0.21 |
| 09-14 19:48 | Will “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 19:48 | Will “All Her Fault” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 19:48 | Will “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.04 |
| 09-14 19:48 | Will “The Bear” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 15:50 | Will the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Election not take place by September 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 10:42 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.04 |