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Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-31
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.001. Unchanged over the period, from 0.001. Range 0.001 to 0.001. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00124,12024,120
0.00710024,220
0.0081524,235
0.0093024,265
0.01023124,496
0.01215624,652
0.0214524,697
0.0224024,737
0.0254024,777
0.12355025,327
0.12415425,481
0.14712025,601

SpreadMid

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal

SpreadMid

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99924,12024,120
0.99310024,220
0.9921524,235
0.9913024,265
0.99023124,496
0.98815624,652
0.9794524,697
0.9784024,737
0.9754024,777
0.87755025,327
0.87615425,481
0.85312025,601

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
alwayslatetothepartyYes12,142.46
donthackmeYes9,110.38
balthazarYes4,489.73
0xEC6AD6AEAA9394Yes3,176.12
CorlysYes2,366.8
0xd32c…a4c2Yes2,145.34
pleasedontstopthemusicYes2,000
madmatpolYes2,000
-..-Debict.rose-Yes1,571.52
cigarettesYes1,346.22
RenfengyingYes1,000
betterfasterstrongerYes1,000
GoreaYes1,000
0xE340d86E205B72Ff0E42Ab96798067D1Fd095842-1766242730769Yes858.4
pestanimalYes800
mildwindow27Yes737.68
VictorLudorumYes667.97
Tee1000Yes663.16
CheChe-0Yes657.3
0xfBd8C9C22cA76B3662d0e53A4f79719FDC684027-1779347618060Yes596

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:05:02BUYYes0.0011,000$1.00
08:56:33BUYYes0.0011,000$1.00
08:16:40BUYYes0.0011,000$1.00
19:43:36BUYYes0.0011,000$1.00
11:39:34BUYNo0.99930$29.97
11:29:18BUYYes0.001828$0.83
07:55:49BUYNo0.999125$124.88
07:55:49BUYNo0.999171$170.83
02:41:49BUYNo0.99915$14.70
12:47:09SELLYes0.0011,131$1.13
12:45:15SELLYes0.00130$0.03
12:42:49SELLYes0.0012,000$2.00
19:43:48BUYNo0.99830$29.94
19:15:43BUYNo0.99845$44.91
19:15:42BUYNo0.998100$99.80
19:15:42BUYNo0.99830$29.94
19:15:40BUYNo0.998126$125.62
18:31:10BUYNo0.99830$29.94
18:31:04BUYNo0.99860$59.88
18:31:04BUYNo0.99815$14.67
18:31:04BUYNo0.99861$61.08
18:31:04BUYNo0.99875$74.85
18:31:04BUYNo0.998148$147.21
18:31:03BUYNo0.998170$169.66
18:31:03BUYNo0.99825$24.78