PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

pleasedontstopthemusic

0x517fb680c99c7d1e619f9073681e20a68265933f

Realised P&L
$25.3k
Volume
$78.9k
Markets traded
307
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar32.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded307
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.5000.905$905.01+$405.00
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.5000.705$562.48+$163.56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.5000.175$140.59$261.10
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0380.125$122.50+$84.81
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.0340.072$38.96+$20.43
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0380.043$30.99+$2.94
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.335$13.95$6.87
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.595$13.12+$2.09
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.400$13.04$3.26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.415$12.40$2.54
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.605$11.56+$2.01
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.185$11.11+$5.65
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.011$11.00$24.71
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.205$10.64$15.31
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.5000.530$10.61+$0.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:52Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.001$0.04
08-03 03:48Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.02$0.40
08-03 03:46Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 3?SELL0.01$0.20
08-03 03:46Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 3?SELL0.001$0.08
08-03 03:45Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3?SELL0.25$4.67
08-03 03:42Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 3?SELL0.43$8.60
08-03 03:41Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3?SELL0.36$7.20
08-03 03:40Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.12$1.80
08-03 03:40Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4?SELL0.2$4.00
08-03 03:38Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3?SELL0.24$1.48
08-03 03:37Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.38$8.19
08-03 03:34Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.14$0.70
08-03 03:34Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.56$11.21
08-03 03:28Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.01$0.20
08-03 03:23Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 3?SELL0.04$0.80