PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pleasedontstopthemusic

0x517fb680c99c7d1e619f9073681e20a68265933f

Realised P&L
$5.8k
Volume
$189.7k
Markets traded
417
Open portfolio
$25.37

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded417
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$3.75−$264.07
Will Michael be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$3.75−$264.07
Will Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$3.75−$264.07
Will Project Hail Mary be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$3.75−$264.07
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$3.75−$264.07
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$3.75−$264.07
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0360.001$1.76−$123.79
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.001$0.28−$42.53
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.001$0.28−$42.53
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.001$0.28−$42.53
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.001$0.28−$42.53
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 3? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$3.11
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$10.91
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 2? · Yes0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$9.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:39Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr?SELL0.001$0.76
08-04 00:39Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City?SELL0.006$4.60
08-03 14:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4?SELL0.25$6.75
08-03 13:42Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 3?SELL0.001$0.04
08-03 12:52Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3?SELL0.02$0.40
08-03 12:49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 3?SELL0.001$0.09
08-03 12:43Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.74$185.58
08-03 12:42Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on August 3?SELL0.001$0.12
08-03 12:33Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July?SELL0.017$0.34
08-03 11:50Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4?SELL0.23$4.60
08-03 11:11Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3?SELL0.09$4.50
08-03 11:11Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.001$0.30
08-03 11:11Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 3?SELL0.02$0.40
08-03 11:11Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4?SELL0.3$1.50
08-03 11:11Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.001$0.30