pleasedontstopthemusic
0x517fb680c99c7d1e619f9073681e20a68265933f
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $189.7k
- Markets traded
- 417
- Open portfolio
- $25.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded417
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.036Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$1.8kat 0.031Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$1.3kat 0.034Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$658.95at 0.038Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
- +$594.77at 0.053Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 00:39 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.76 |
| 08-04 00:39 | Will Vinicius Junior join Manchester City? | SELL | 0.006 | $4.60 |
| 08-03 14:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.25 | $6.75 |
| 08-03 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 08-03 12:43 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $185.58 |
| 08-03 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C or higher on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.12 |
| 08-03 12:33 | Will annual inflation be 3.6% in July? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.34 |
| 08-03 11:50 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.09 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 08-03 11:11 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.30 |