pleasedontstopthemusic
0x517fb680c99c7d1e619f9073681e20a68265933f
- Realised P&L
- $25.3k
- Volume
- $78.9k
- Markets traded
- 307
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar32.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded307
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.500Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.034Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$698.24at 0.500Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$468.75at 0.500Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
- +$461.52at 0.500Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-03 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 08-03 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.25 | $4.67 |
| 08-03 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 08-03 03:41 | Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.80 |
| 08-03 03:40 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 03:38 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.48 |
| 08-03 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $8.19 |
| 08-03 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 08-03 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.21 |
| 08-03 03:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 08-03 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |