PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xE340d86E205B72Ff0E42Ab96798067D1Fd095842-1766242730769

0xb44aea212837d5731140119d2852fe47573365fa

Realised P&L
$-152.78
Volume
$31.0k
Markets traded
58
Open portfolio
$4.68

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded58
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes0.0250.009$1.06$1.89
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0150.015$1.01$0.04
Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026? · Yes0.0800.025$0.50$1.10
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.50$0.50
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.45$1.34
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.43$0.43
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.0010.001$0.43$0.43
Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.050$0.25$0.75
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0290.002$0.05$0.95
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.20
Gavi Paez: 1+ goals · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$0.52
Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00
Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27? · No0.0280.000$0.00$37.60
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-29 10:12Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.002$1.79
07-29 10:12Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.0289999724$1.00
07-29 10:10Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-29 10:07Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.001$1.00
07-28 07:3110.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.0189999817$1.00
07-27 15:22Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.0063504394$5.00
07-27 15:08Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.0323913991$1.00
07-27 15:07Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.0439999593$1.00
07-27 14:31Moonshot publishes Kimi K3 weights by July 27?BUY0.0559999498$1.00
07-27 13:43Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.02$5.00
07-27 13:42Kimi K4 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.2$1.00
07-27 12:54Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-27 12:54Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-27 12:54Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00
07-27 12:53Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$1.00