betterfasterstronger
0x13fa4ce1b8a27dd0b7a72db6205a50ee6ff0954c
- Realised P&L
- $531.1k
- Volume
- $9.84M
- Markets traded
- 1,263
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,263
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.7kat 0.031Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$22.4kat 0.077Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
- +$21.6kat 0.031Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$19.3kat 0.036Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
- +$16.0kat 0.034Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.48 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.062 | $1.28 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.81 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.77 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.19 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.12 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.029 | $0.60 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.033 | $0.68 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.043 | $0.89 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.048 | $0.99 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 09-04 08:49 | Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.068 | $1.41 |