PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xEC6AD6AEAA9394

0x9e83dcf11f1457887cfec68efaec6ad6aeaa9394

Realised P&L
$14.9k
Volume
$29.14M
Markets traded
4,702
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,702
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8170.972$340.00+$54.02
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.8700.995$325.20+$40.71
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8580.945$159.20+$14.63
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? · No0.5500.895$54.45+$21.01
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7500.992$49.58+$12.07
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2600.221$44.32$7.96
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.004$34.98$34.98
Will The Super Mario Galaxy Movie be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.6700.999$29.97+$9.87
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · No0.7100.840$25.20+$3.90
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0060.005$23.85$2.97
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6300.935$18.70+$6.10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.745$18.63+$0.37
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0050.002$15.15$35.20
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.002$14.24$23.73
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1350.105$10.55$2.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 23:33Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 13?SELL0.26$1.30
09-12 23:22Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 13?BUY0.24$1.20
09-12 22:56Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on September 13?BUY0.04$0.60
09-12 18:35Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 12?SELL0.2534210526$4.81
09-12 17:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 12?SELL0.1$1.50
09-12 13:20Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 12?SELL0.1$1.50
09-12 11:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 12?BUY0.04$0.16
09-10 18:10Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C or higher on September 11?BUY0.42$2.10
09-10 16:34Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 11?BUY0.25$1.25
09-09 15:53Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 9?SELL0.14$2.66
09-09 11:42Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on September 9?BUY0.05$10.10
09-08 15:50Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9?BUY0.2$2.20
09-08 12:57Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 9?BUY0.29$9.57
09-08 12:53Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 9?SELL0.2809090909$15.45
09-08 12:46Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 9?BUY0.29$15.95