0xEC6AD6AEAA9394
0x9e83dcf11f1457887cfec68efaec6ad6aeaa9394
- Realised P&L
- $15.0k
- Volume
- $29.04M
- Markets traded
- 4,502
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,502
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$539.12at 0.016Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope?
- +$439.56at 0.010Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?
- +$433.39at 0.011Will the next Pope be from North America?
- +$416.96at 0.048Will the highest temperature in London be between 56-57°F on October 14?
- +$330.83at 0.003Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 11:26 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 08-01 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 07-31 17:13 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 07-31 13:01 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.73 | $162.06 |
| 07-31 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.14 |
| 07-31 12:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 07-31 12:44 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $1.82 |
| 07-31 12:33 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 1? | SELL | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 07-31 12:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 07-31 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 07-30 14:09 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.08 |
| 07-30 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30? | SELL | 0.32 | $15.36 |
| 07-30 11:57 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.25 |
| 07-30 11:44 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |
| 07-30 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |