PolyBot

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Traders

alwayslatetotheparty

0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5

Realised P&L
$141.7k
Volume
$275.52M
Markets traded
2,065
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,065
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.004$162.13−$119.33
Will John McEntee win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.002$129.21−$543.71
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$108.79−$108.79
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0050.001$105.56−$1.1k
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.001$104.43−$1.1k
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.001$83.17−$914.91
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$79.56−$1.0k
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$55.42−$190.07
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0060.001$41.45−$455.90
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0080.001$36.10−$527.90
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0770.001$29.55−$4.5k
Will Natacha Polony win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$26.73−$390.93
Will Sylvain Durif win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$26.73−$390.93
Will Anasse Kazib win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$26.73−$390.93
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0070.001$25.07−$325.91

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 05:22Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$106.00
09-10 05:21Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$152.21
09-10 05:20Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$152.06
09-10 05:19Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$154.50
09-10 05:18Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.001$152.21
08-02 16:12Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.38$3.83
08-02 16:02Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.014$8.40
08-02 16:01Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3?SELL0.02$0.40
08-02 15:56Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3?SELL0.45$6.73
08-02 15:53Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
08-02 15:53Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
08-02 15:53Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
08-02 15:51Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3?SELL0.44$2.20
08-02 15:45Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 3?SELL0.19$0.71
08-02 15:25Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3?SELL0.39$1.95