alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5
- Realised P&L
- $832.0k
- Volume
- $270.16M
- Markets traded
- 1,947
- Open portfolio
- $16.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,947
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14Mat 0.500Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$869.5kat 0.017Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$649.9kat 0.017Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$515.6kat 0.200Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$243.0kat 0.500Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.83 |
| 08-02 16:02 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $8.40 |
| 08-02 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.45 | $6.73 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.71 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-02 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.66 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 08-02 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 15:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.51319 | $10.26 |