alwayslatetotheparty
0xb687f00464e33934f5d591f224e71c3559ecaee5
- Realised P&L
- $141.7k
- Volume
- $275.52M
- Markets traded
- 2,065
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,065
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration46.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$823.7kat 0.077Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$611.8kat 0.077Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$512.6kat 0.200Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$86.7kat 0.028Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$75.7kat 0.077Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 05:22 | Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $106.00 |
| 09-10 05:21 | Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $152.21 |
| 09-10 05:20 | Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $152.06 |
| 09-10 05:19 | Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $154.50 |
| 09-10 05:18 | Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $152.21 |
| 08-02 16:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.38 | $3.83 |
| 08-02 16:02 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.014 | $8.40 |
| 08-02 16:01 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.40 |
| 08-02 15:56 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.45 | $6.73 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:53 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 08-02 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.71 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.39 | $1.95 |