Will Meta's Watermelon model debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.10 to 0.26. 163 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.22	240	240
0.23	58	298
0.26	82	380
0.29	11	391
0.30	53	444
0.33	200	644
0.45	60	704
0.55	70	774
0.67	70	844
0.68	20	864
0.73	70	934
0.74	80	1,014

Spread0.04Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.18	120	120
0.17	140	260
0.14	70	330
0.11	73	403
0.10	21	424
0.06	8	432
0.05	81	513
0.03	5	518
0.02	20	538
0.01	24	562

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.82	120	120
0.83	140	260
0.86	70	330
0.89	73	403
0.90	21	424
0.94	8	432
0.95	81	513
0.97	5	518
0.98	20	538
0.99	24	562

Spread0.04Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.78	240	240
0.77	58	298
0.74	82	380
0.71	11	391
0.70	53	444
0.67	200	644
0.55	60	704
0.45	70	774
0.33	70	844
0.32	20	864
0.27	70	934
0.26	80	1,014

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
2B9S	Yes	61
QR1	Yes	52.72
AJSV	Yes	28.11
Bsau4	Yes	25
tiongbu	Yes	20.01
tradetosurvive1	Yes	20
arbinglike99	Yes	1.14
from00	No	127.36
molodoyy	No	81.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:48:34	BUY	No	0.77	20	$15.40
05:43:42	SELL	No	0.72	10	$7.02
05:17:32	SELL	No	0.79	10	$7.70
05:17:12	BUY	Yes	0.2	10	$1.95
05:17:12	SELL	No	0.8	10	$7.80
21:33:27	BUY	No	0.79	20	$15.80
18:42:08	BUY	Yes	0.1494584455	53	$7.88
15:19:55	SELL	Yes	0.1	7	$0.73
19:43:20	SELL	Yes	0.09	7	$0.66
19:42:47	BUY	Yes	0.2	5	$1.00
17:45:15	SELL	Yes	0.11	2	$0.26
16:44:35	SELL	Yes	0.14	25	$3.50
16:30:09	BUY	No	0.7851786452	127	$100.00
00:21:35	BUY	Yes	0.2	19	$3.80
23:59:47	SELL	Yes	0.21	21	$4.41
12:37:24	SELL	Yes	0.1	20	$2.00
03:23:14	BUY	Yes	0.08	21	$1.68
23:38:45	BUY	Yes	0.2199999964	39	$8.55
15:49:29	BUY	No	0.6524700654	81	$52.86