PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-01

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.35. down 0.08 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.20 to 0.59. 170 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.45163163
0.916169
0.92300469
0.9625494
0.9711504
0.9850554
0.99155709

Spread0.20Mid0.35

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.25100100
0.165105
0.11180285
0.10300585
0.086591
0.04120711
0.0212723
0.01165888

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.75100100
0.845105
0.89180285
0.90300585
0.926591
0.96120711
0.9812723
0.99165888

Spread0.20Mid0.65

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.55163163
0.096169
0.08300469
0.0425494
0.0311504
0.0250554
0.01155709

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ragutwoYes250
grinder1011Yes197.43
0x619DC40631C5f78606d17Ed1528d62898096B31C-1767915763461Yes70.82
AJSVYes70.68
0xc01f…19a1Yes23.8
0x149Eac48FE9178f7679ade2865Ffd16A286C7958-1768048403749Yes7.46
MaxVisionNo255
RogerFedNo250
SpyVsSpyNo66.67
flexer78No21.06
johnashboughNo20
881112No7.46

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:49:06BUYYes0.430928942323$10.00
17:48:30BUYYes0.4224$10.00
17:48:30BUYYes0.419999996648$20.00
10:53:12SELLYes0.270$14.00
03:41:17BUYYes0.2519$4.75
12:11:16SELLNo0.7521$15.50
12:11:15BUYNo0.7415478568215$159.68
04:32:28BUYNo0.7567$50.00
17:12:22BUYYes0.4833333333150$72.50
11:31:49BUYYes0.4221$8.69
10:13:39BUYYes0.39100$39.00
17:34:08BUYNo0.420$8.00
23:30:08BUYYes0.3100$30.00
20:33:10BUYYes0.7450$37.00
14:00:57BUYYes0.66999996117$5.00