PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x149Eac48FE9178f7679ade2865Ffd16A286C7958-1768048403749

0x149eac48fe9178f7679ade2865ffd16a286c7958

Realised P&L
$86.70
Volume
$4.1k
Markets traded
73
Open portfolio
$66.18

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded73
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 14:00Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999611$5.00
10-01 14:00Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31?BUY0.9299999953$10.00
10-01 13:58Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
10-01 13:54Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.629999995$10.00
10-01 13:53Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?BUY0.6589999926$20.00
09-17 10:25Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0439999995$2.00
09-17 10:23Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
09-17 10:22Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999587$5.00
08-14 15:30US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3599999921$20.00
08-14 15:30Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.75$15.00
08-14 15:29Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.529999965$5.00
08-14 15:28Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETBUY0.3099999622$5.00
08-14 15:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.7599999483$10.00
07-08 04:59Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
07-08 04:57Will no listed leader be out before 2027?BUY0.0029999985$2.00