0x149Eac48FE9178f7679ade2865Ffd16A286C7958-1768048403749
0x149eac48fe9178f7679ade2865ffd16a286c7958
- Realised P&L
- $86.70
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $66.18
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.56at 0.360US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?
- +$20.09at 0.230Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
- +$12.00at 0.700US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$11.74at 0.430Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$11.74at 0.460US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 14:00 | Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999611 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 14:00 | Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz by October 31? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:58 | Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.3299999924 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:54 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 13:53 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6589999926 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 10:25 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0439999995 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 10:23 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 10:22 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299999587 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 15:30 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999921 | $20.00 |
| 08-14 15:30 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 08-14 15:29 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 08-14 15:27 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7599999483 | $10.00 |
| 07-08 04:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 04:57 | Will no listed leader be out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0029999985 | $2.00 |